News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by meowface on Thursday October 29, 2020 @02:34PM (#24933806)
They should be treated with caution and skepticism, but you seem to be using motivated reasoning without an impartial look of the actual probabilities. There's no hard proof they're real and no hard proof they're doctored. This requires a rigorous analysis, not dismissal.
Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by drewrv on Thursday October 29, 2020 @04:01PM (#24935010)
> There's no hard proof they're real

Assertions made without evidence can be dismissed without evidence.

Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by meowface on Thursday October 29, 2020 @04:10PM (#24935132)
"Hard proof" is different from "evidence". In my opinion, there is some evidence: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24934971

Of course it's not proof, but there's currently some evidence indicating it's real, and currently no evidence indicating it's doctored. Given the circumstances, it'd be extremely irresponsible for any media outlet to assume they're definitely true, but it's almost as irresponsible to assume they can't possibly be true and to not even raise the possibility they could be real.

Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by ivalm on Thursday October 29, 2020 @02:38PM (#24933854)
“Facts” conveniently dropped right before election whose veracity cannot be proven and which were clearly placed to affect the election outcome should be treated as fake and not promulgated in public discourse. Otherwise it encourages release of outrageous lies right before election and degrades the whole process.
Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by meowface on Thursday October 29, 2020 @02:47PM (#24934018)
Will you change your stance on this, in a general sense, if it's all later confirmed to be real? And isn't it true that someone wishing to affect an election, and in possession of real information, would take the exact same action? You can't judge truth solely based on motive. That motive and action is consistent with the carefully timed release of either fake or real information.

The same was probably true of the person who leaked Trump's tax returns before the election. Of course they were initially treated with caution, but the media worked to confirm their veracity. Here they won't even ask the question.

I don't think the emails contain anything very damaging to Biden, as far as I can tell. I think the cover-up, lack of care about truth, and blind zealotry is way worse than anything in the emails. I do happen to think the emails are > 50% likely real, but the absolute refusal to consider them impartially is the actual problem, not the emails. It just shows neither pro-Trump nor anti-Trump give a single shit about truth. They just care about winning. Ideology trumps epistemology.

Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by tzs on Thursday October 29, 2020 @03:07PM (#24934288)
> I don't think the emails contain anything very damaging to Biden, as far as I can tell.

This is the weirdest part about Republican attacks on Biden's ethics or integrity. All that I have seen have been accusing Biden or his family of things that Trump and his family do much more often than the Biden's are alleged to have done them.

In a rational world, that kind of attack would totally backfire.

But it's pretty clear people aren't rational. I've had people tell me that Trump must be trustworthy because he's a billionaire, and had the same people tell me that Gates, Soros, Buffett, and Bezos cannot be trusted because they are billionaires. Huh!?

Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by dragonwriter on Thursday October 29, 2020 @03:39PM (#24934704)
> All that I have seen have been accusing Biden or his family of things that Trump and his family do much more often than the Biden's are alleged to have done them.

Attack your enemy (especially falsely!) for the things you are guilty of so the people who are outside of the bubble that uncritically listens to propaganda (yours or your opponents) have been primed to dismiss that line of attack as just the kind of thing that propagandists invent about their enemies isn't a novel technique.

Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by jungletime on Friday October 30, 2020 @01:58AM (#24939582)
Trump went into politics a rich man. Biden become rich while being in Politics.

The difference in the accusations is something like this: "Biden monetized the vice presidency, for personal gain. He set up a money laundering operation, that funnelled money from foreign entities back to his family, through deals his crack head son was making."

His son was making 50k/month from a power energy company in Ukraine, that he had no prior experience in.

This is a lot different than hiring your own kids to work for you in your own administration, as Trump did.

Lots of people here are still holding on to "emails" being fake. Maybe you have heard the term, "A lie is 3 questions deep". The problem with the emails are fake theory, is that that emails have these snippets of personal information, that have been collaborated, along with very incriminating selfie photos of Hunter doing crack and prostitutes in hotel rooms. Both would be incredibly difficult to fake because they are so mundane, and intimate, as no one would have the imagination to fake them.

Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by tzs on Friday October 30, 2020 @11:12AM (#24943056)
> Trump went into politics a rich man. Biden become rich while being in Politics.

Biden wasn't very wealthy for most of his political career, which was as a Senator from 1973 to 2009, nor when he was VP. His net worth was under half a million when his VP term ended.

His current wealth of around $10-20 million or so came after he was no longer in office, mostly from a multi-book deal with Flatiron Books for both he and his wife ($8 million), speaking fees (basic fee $100k, but sometimes as low as $8k and as high as $190k), and $540k from his professorship with the University of Pennsylvania's Penn Biden Center for Diplomacy and Global Engagement.

There's a chart of Biden and his wife's total earnings from 1998-2019 in this Forbes article [1].

[1] https://www.forbes.com/sites/michelatindera/2020/10/22/how-t...

Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by meowface on Thursday October 29, 2020 @03:11PM (#24934360)
I fully agree with you. That's why I think the cover-up is way, way worse than the actual original thing. It was a nothingburger, and now the media's unintentionally turned it into one of the biggest controversies of the year, by refusing to treat it in a reasonable and balanced way. It's the epitome of the Streisand effect.

This is why I keep posting about this. It's all just unwittingly helping Trump, all because they somehow think being journalists is the thing that'd actually help him or will cause accusations of helping him if he wins.

There's a middleground here. Of course the media having a front page headline about the emails every day would be irresponsible. But refusing to talk about it or look at it inquisitively, at all, ever, is just as irresponsible. As is Twitter censoring links to it.

Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by zzleeper on Thursday October 29, 2020 @03:50PM (#24934851)
> the media's unintentionally turned it into one if the biggest controversies of the year

Maybe in the Republican bubble. Outside of it, no one really cares and sees it as a weird and poorly executed complot

Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by meowface on Thursday October 29, 2020 @04:08PM (#24935104)
I think you're very wrong. I'm the opposite of a Republican, and I think this scandal (the media's and Twitter's behavior, not the emails) is big. Matt Taibbi, a very definitely not-Republican journalist, agrees: https://taibbi.substack.com/p/with-the-hunter-biden-expose-s...

I think the main reason it's not a big controversy elsewhere is due to exactly what you mention - both bubbles absolutely reject anything negative about their side and absolutely accept anything negative about the opposing side. So of course one bubble won't care, or even be aware of what's going on.

Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by rat87 on Thursday October 29, 2020 @04:23PM (#24935287)
Taibbi like Greenwald has gone gaga against the establishment/evidence of Trump's collusion with Russia.

I don't think many people care what he has to say

More relevant is https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/28/trump-conspiracy-th...

Basically a bunch of Republican operatives admitting that virtually no one is buying the BS and that's it's not a useful line of attack

Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by meowface on Thursday October 29, 2020 @04:27PM (#24935334)
There wasn't any evidence of Trump colluding with Russia, though, as explained in Mueller's report. Greenwald has in the past gone so far as to even doubt interference, but he seems to have changed his stance and on JRE the other day he did say they interfered. Also, as you can tell from my post history, I strongly dislike Trump and everything he stands for, to be absolutely clear. I just want to accuse him of the thousands of things he's actually guilty of and not the things he's not guilty of.

If you read Taibbi's article, he's not at all claiming that the emails are damaging to Biden. The headline is "With the Hunter Biden Expose, Suppression is a Bigger Scandal Than The Actual Story".

Like in my posts, he's talking about the media's and Twitter's behavior in censoring the story - not the emails themselves. Everything he says is perfectly consistent with what's said in the Politico article you linked.

Taibbi is one of the most reputable, high-integrity, rational, and truth-seeking journalists working today, in my opinion. Reality often sits between a gray area of poles.

Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by nailer on Thursday October 29, 2020 @04:28PM (#24935362)
Russiagate has been investigated with insufficient evidence to charge anyone in the Trump campaign. You can easily verify this for yourself. Please stop promoting conspiracy theories.
Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by teclordphrack2 on Thursday October 29, 2020 @04:34PM (#24935424)
Do you think Obama was told that Hilary was going to claim russia was helping trump?
Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by ivalm on Thursday October 29, 2020 @02:57PM (#24934163)
I want to discourage anyone trying to “time dropping facts”, real or not. If you have real evidence then publish it when you get it. I disliked the NYT Trump taxes expose timing as well, although at least they put a bigger lead time to election.

The problem with these timed attacks is that they fundamentally encourage lying to affect elections.

Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by meowface on Thursday October 29, 2020 @03:03PM (#24934249)
I don't agree that they encourage lying. "October Surprises" have been a thing for a very long time. It's just politics; the whole point of politics is to try to get your person to win and the other person to lose.

I think the NYT with the tax returns and the NY Post with the emails both acted properly, personally. (Though I strongly distrust both of them in general. NY Post much more so, but NYT gets worse and worse by the month, in my eyes.)

It's also unclear if either of them hoarded anything; they both may have published their pieces as quickly as they could, given the circumstances and when they received the information. I might be missing some evidence of hoarding; apologies if so.

Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by kolanos on Thursday October 29, 2020 @04:01PM (#24935009)
The FBI, according to reports, received this laptop at the same time Trump was being impeached for asking Ukraine to investigate the matter. It appears the FBI sat on this evidence for 9 months.

> Meanwhile, additional documents obtained by Fox News include FBI paperwork that details the bureau’s interactions with John Paul Mac Isaac, the owner of “The Mac Shop” who reported the laptop’s contents to authorities, as first reported by the New York Post. > Isaac received a subpoena to testify before U.S. District Court in Delaware on Dec. 9, 2019, the documents show. One page shows what appears to be serial numbers for a laptop and hard drive taken into possession.

[0]: https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fbi-purported-hunter-biden-...

Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by rat87 on Thursday October 29, 2020 @04:19PM (#24935247)
Trump probably illegally cheated on his taxes what's wrong with Nytimes reporting that

Oh you meant the more recent taxes expose.

Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by starkd on Thursday October 29, 2020 @02:51PM (#24934078)
Biden could have addressed this months ago. the fact that he hasn't is very telling. Before he got the nomination, major publications were running stories about it, like Politico and Bloomberg, etc.
Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by meowface on Thursday October 29, 2020 @02:57PM (#24934170)
Absolutely, and there're several other indicators as well. I think it's still unclear if all of it's real, and the acquisition story seems sketchy (and very unethical if true), but it seems more likely than not to be legit.

I think staying silent about it is absolutely the smartest move on Joe's part. Trying to defend the contents will only draw more attention to them. It's the media's refusal to be actual journalists that's the dumb thing.

Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by starkd on Thursday October 29, 2020 @03:34PM (#24934641)
The fact that he's not addressing this properly is the scandalous part. Don't we deserve answers. Even if he's elected, this is not going away and will only hobble his administration. He needs to clear it up and get it out of the way. There's a troubling trend among democrat nominees to suppress. Like him or hate him, you have to admit Trump holds press conferences and answers questions.
Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by meowface on Thursday October 29, 2020 @03:42PM (#24934738)
Eh, any politician would probably do the same.

I strongly disagree about Trump. That's basically been Trump's exact MO since forever; any real story concerning him just gets instantly dismissed. "It's locker room talk", "it's fake news", etc. Trump and his White House have held far fewer press conferences than past presidents. And at his press conferences, he refuses many questions and dismisses others with either non-answers or just his typical bullshit salesman-speak.

I do think this is probably the "Trumpiest" Biden has acted so far, but I think I'd probably do the same thing if I were in his position, honestly. At least until the election is over. It's politics. He doesn't want to throw too much gasoline on the fire. It's just the media's and Twitter's behavior that I just mind-boggling and gross, and the irrational way so much of the left is treating it.

Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by starkd on Thursday October 29, 2020 @04:53PM (#24935698)
My point is that we can survive a Biden or Trump. But once you start suppressing points of view, in the end, the election outcome won't matter. And if they think they are doing it "just this once" to save the country, they will do it again, as soon as its convenient for them. These are not the signs of a healthy free press.
Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by hackinthebochs on Thursday October 29, 2020 @04:04PM (#24935057)
No. Responding to smears gives them more attention than they would otherwise get ruminating in the bowels of the internet. Those who are calling for Biden to deny them really want him to legitimize the content by addressing them.
Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by ivalm on Thursday October 29, 2020 @03:01PM (#24934213)
What do you mean he knew about it months ago? The point is that this is all just a fabrication, there is no story to address. That’s why they are pushing it now and not months ago.
Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by meowface on Thursday October 29, 2020 @03:07PM (#24934286)
I'd be willing to take a bet with you that they're not a fabrication, if you want.

If they were a fabrication, the smartest thing to do would be a vehement pronouncement that it's all doctored, fake bullshit. It'd make sense to do that once and then never talk about it again and refuse questions, but the fact that there's not a single denial is telling. It's definitely not proof, but it's a sign.

Also, at least one email thread was corroborated by someone else on the thread as being real. That doesn't prove the rest of the emails are real, but it increases the likelihood.

Again, I don't even think there's anything damaging in there. But the absolute kneejerk insistence that they're fabricated, and that even trying to be impartial about it is giving into propaganda, by so many people, is pretty bizarre to me. There's a reasonable, rational, balanced middle ground here that very few people (besides some actual journalists like Matt Taibbi, Ross Douthat, and perhaps Glenn Greenwald - pending exactly what he says in this forthcoming article) seem to be taking.

Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by hackinthebochs on Thursday October 29, 2020 @04:06PM (#24935080)
>If they were a fabrication, the smartest thing to do would be a vehement pronouncement that it's all doctored, fake bullshit

This is false, and rather laughable. If he addresses them directly, then that gives legitimate news organizations license to report on his denial, including reporting on the accusations. By not denying them he puts the onus on those pushing the story to demonstrate its legitimacy first.

Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by meowface on Thursday October 29, 2020 @06:26PM (#24936846)
I don't agree at all. Quoting another comment I made:

>For example, here's a screenshot of a few of the emails in question: https://i.imgur.com/XNQarwF.png

>Is this a smoking gun of corruption of any sort? Obviously not. But could it raise some questions, before an important election? It could. If someone had completely fabricated this email, in my opinion almost any rational person would, at least once, somewhere, say or write that it was absolutely completely fabricated.

>Additionally, someone on this exact email thread corroborates that the email thread is all real, and claims that "H" is Hunter Biden and "the big guy" is Joe Biden, which seems plausible given the email context.

The smartest move, if they're true, is to be silent. The smartest move, if even a single email is doctored, is to protest that it's fake.

There's already been tons of reporting in non-left-aligned media about the emails and the fact that his silence is suggestive of them being real. If he were to deny it, the very little bit of reporting that NYT etc. did about it, suggesting it's likely disinformation, likely from Russia, could be even more strong with its claims that it's total bullshit.

Combined with the corroboration of the person in that email thread, and the fact there isn't anything that interesting in the emails (why doctor something so boring? like with the DNC emails hacked and leaked by Russian intelligence), I'm happy to bet money with you that they'll be proven to be legitimate within a few months. I don't think it's proven at all, but I think it's more likely than not.

Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by hackinthebochs on Thursday October 29, 2020 @06:37PM (#24936937)
There was an article I saw recently quoting from a right-wing political operative about smears. The takeaway was that a smear has little value if it stays contained within right-wing echo chambers. The goal is to get the mainstream press to talk about it non-stop. That is the mark of a successful smear campaign (this is tangential to the information's accuracy).

The fact that the mainstream press hasn't talked about the controversy much outside of the context of twitter et al blocking its dissemination, or it being a suspected disinformation campaign is a win for Biden. Denying the content of the controversy suddenly allows the story to be reported as a he-said, she-said, giving the story a life of its own. This does a disservice to Biden because now the reporting can be neutral between the parties. The battle here is over swing voters, and a he-said/she-said controversy is exactly the kind of nebulous "concerns" the GOP hope to raise about Biden. It was the specter of something going on that defeated Hillary and they're hoping to repeat this with Biden. Not addressing the specifics of the controversy allows the story to stay where it belongs, as a right-wing media hail mary.

As a comparison, mainstream press didn't report on the Trump dossier until Buzzfeed's reporting of the dossier became the story. Once the story becomes reified, mainstream outlets can then report on the controversy. The winning move is to keep the story from becoming its own controversy. Not addressing it directly helps to accomplish this.

Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by uoaei on Thursday October 29, 2020 @03:33PM (#24934634)
Observing similar cases throughout history, the lack of immediate denial and dismissal is a very strong signal that there is some truth to it.

Take for instance the Podesta emails as a recent example. No one denied that they were real, just denounced the means by which they were made public.

Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by meowface on Thursday October 29, 2020 @03:44PM (#24934773)
Exactly. And the acquisition here also has a very sketchy story. It kind of sounds made up. If it's true, it's very unethical. If it's untrue, it very likely still was. But the method of acquisition doesn't say anything about the content itself.
Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by starkd on Thursday October 29, 2020 @03:30PM (#24934601)
The drug use and pornography is not relevant and more of a distraction. But the indications he may have been paid off by the CCP is troubling, and would mean he's a compromised candidate. We've spent the last four years of dire warnings from the media about Russian information, only to see them ignore the vast influence of CCP money around the globe.
Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by meowface on Thursday October 29, 2020 @03:35PM (#24934652)
I don't think the emails show clear signs of any improper behavior with respect to China. It's not necessarily unethical for his family to have had businesses or business relationships in other countries, and it's not necessarily evidence of any relationship with the CCP. The CCP technically controls all business, so it could be said that any business dealing with any part of China is dealing with the CCP, but I think that'd be unfair if there's not an actual, concrete governmental relationship.

And so far, there doesn't seem to be any hard evidence that Joe was profiting from or involved with any of the deals himself (though there are some accusations of this).

The leaks are worthy of fair assessment and research, but people definitely shouldn't jump to conclusions of corruption.

Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by lhnz on Thursday October 29, 2020 @05:34PM (#24936220)

  > I don't think the emails show clear signs
  > of any improper behavior with respect to China.
Yeah, but there was this recent report (https://www.baldingsworld.com/2020/10/22/report-on-biden-act...) which does seem to show clear links to the Bidens having received CCP money.
Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by starkd on Thursday October 29, 2020 @03:55PM (#24934935)
I don't know. Watch Tucker Carlson's Bobulinski interview. He's got nothing to gain from this and comes off very credible. He accounts messages from the Biden family, even Biden himself that are very troubling. Not to mention the "plausible deniability" line chortled by his brother Jim. It deserves an accounting from the candidate. The company they got money, the CFEC was controlled by the CCP.
Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by nneonneo on Thursday October 29, 2020 @03:41PM (#24934732)
If Biden came out and said it was false, he’d (a) be giving this garbage more air time than it deserved, and (b) embolden people who think it’s a cover-up. There’s no reason to believe that making such a statement would actually improve things; rather, it would probably make things much worse.

You say there’s nothing damaging in there. If that’s the case then the Biden campaign has even less reason to respond.

Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by meowface on Thursday October 29, 2020 @03:58PM (#24934971)
At this late stage, yeah, you'd probably be right. But when the story first broke - before a cover-up, before most of the air time - if someone completely forged some emails, it would be the reasonable thing to do.

There's probably nothing really damaging. But some things in it could still potentially be interpreted that way, to the point that if someone had completely fabricated the emails, I think it'd be worth coming out and saying "to be clear, these are blatantly made up, my son never sent this email/these emails" even just once. Even in just an off-hand comment in an interview.

For example, here's a screenshot of a few of the emails in question: https://i.imgur.com/XNQarwF.png

Is this a smoking gun of corruption of any sort? Obviously not. But could it raise some questions, before an important election? It could. If someone had completely fabricated this email, in my opinion almost any rational person would, at least once, somewhere, say or write that it was absolutely completely fabricated. Additionally, someone on this exact email thread corroborates that the email thread is all real, and claims that "H" is Hunter Biden and "the big guy" is Joe Biden, which seems plausible given the email context.

I think it definitely is a cover-up. Not because of some collusion between Biden and the media; I think it's all social forces and incentives.

Optically, the media doesn't want accusations of having helped Trump win if he wins.

At the object level, a large percentage of people in the media lean left and strongly dislike Trump and don't want to do anything that might help him win.

And, probably, some percentage may also be so biased that they really think there's no possible way the emails could be real.

In the last case it wouldn't be called a cover-up, but it's being awful at one's job. In all of the cases, it's not a cover-up in the sense of a nefarious conspiracy, but it's journalists not being journalists due to strong political bias.

I think if this were leaked emails about Trump, the right-leaning media would've done exactly the same thing and not reported on it, or only reported that "the left-wing media is spewing conspiracy theories again!", as the inverse of what's happening here. I think the lesson that's reinforced here for me is just that all media organizations of any kind once again can't be trusted when it comes to actually caring about truth and epistemology.

Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by teclordphrack2 on Thursday October 29, 2020 @04:32PM (#24935414)
"before a cover-up" Its been talked about and has as many holes in it as the other dozen attempted smears.
Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by meowface on Thursday October 29, 2020 @04:35PM (#24935457)
It's not about the holes, it's about if it's newsworthy to even discuss, and in my opinion it is newsworthy to discuss. There's a difference between holes and bullshit. The emails are real; the extrapolations and Bobulinski's claims are what's unclear. Some of his claims are objectively true, and some may not be.
Re:My Resignation from the Intercept by DyslexicAtheist on Thursday October 29, 2020 @03:50PM (#24934865)
> This requires a rigorous analysis, not dismissal.

a distraction so to speak. This is exactly why they're doing it.