Re:'Near extinction' of influenza in NZ as numbers drop due ...
by burlesona on Saturday October 17, 2020 @04:33PM
(#24813077)
I agree with the first part of your statement, but we really don’t know what vaccination will look like or when it will be here.
NZ may be isolated for a long time. But given the alternatives, that’s the approach I’d take too.
Re:'Near extinction' of influenza in NZ as numbers drop due ...
by m0zg on Saturday October 17, 2020 @04:10PM
(#24812854)
> A strong vaccine candidate within the next 6 months is a strong likelihood
There's zero evidence to support this assertion. First there's zero evidence that it's "strong", whatever that means. Second there's zero evidence that we'll have it in the next 6 months. Remember, it also has to be safe, not just "strong". Ensuring that takes a lot of time.
A strong vaccine candidate within the next 6 months is a strong likelihood, along with antibody-based therapeutics. So the plan is to hold out, keep the internal domestic economy moving forward - the tourism hit was going to happen anyway, so might as well have everything else as operational as possible.
Herd immunity is not a strategy, it's just what used to happen before we understood that we could actually reduce the impact of disease on our lives.