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Re:Ask HN: Is hydrogen likely to be a major source of power ... by wombatmobile on Wednesday September 23, 2020 @01:38PM (#24569724)
What is the energy came free, from renewables? What would the cost structure for hydrogen be in that case?
Re:Ask HN: Is hydrogen likely to be a major source of power ... by cmrdporcupine on Wednesday September 23, 2020 @01:49PM (#24569842)
You'd still have to compare it to the equivalent usage of the same energy into a LiOn battery, and in many cases it wouldn't fare well.

Maybe there's a future world in which we can do it all in orbit -- harvest comets, produce hydrogen in space using solar power or nuclear, and efficiently drop it down to earth in some safe way. That would definitely alter the equation. But by the time we figure that out, it'll probably be too late.

Re:Ask HN: Is hydrogen likely to be a major source of power ... by nsonha on Thursday September 24, 2020 @09:26PM (#24585645)
If we're talking about space mining is Lithium abundant too? It's number 3 so should be everywhere in the universe?
Re:Ask HN: Is hydrogen likely to be a major source of power ... by shawndrost on Wednesday September 23, 2020 @04:07PM (#24571355)
Cost structure: ~$5/kg now; forecasted to drop to $2/kg by 2030 and $1/kg by 2050.

https://about.bnef.com/blog/hydrogen-economy-offers-promisin...

Re:Ask HN: Is hydrogen likely to be a major source of power ... by _ph_ on Wednesday September 23, 2020 @03:09PM (#24570730)
There is no free energy from renewables. Renewables are cheap, but not free. And we are very far from even having a 100% renewable grid.
Re:Ask HN: Is hydrogen likely to be a major source of power ... by VBprogrammer on Wednesday September 23, 2020 @04:13PM (#24571430)
When the spot price for energy can go negative due to renewable over production it's fair to say that energy can be free or even better.
Re:Ask HN: Is hydrogen likely to be a major source of power ... by mlindner on Wednesday September 23, 2020 @05:21PM (#24572210)
Yes this is because there isn't enough grid storage yet. Massive amounts of stationary storage need to be produced whether that be pumped hydro or lithium ion battery or some other means of energy storage.
Re:Ask HN: Is hydrogen likely to be a major source of power ... by VBprogrammer on Thursday September 24, 2020 @07:55AM (#24577692)
I recently worked out that the UK's installed capacity of pumped hydro is around 28GWh. This is around the worldwide total production of lithium batteries per year circa 2016 (realistically it may have doubled since then).

Personally I don't going into competition with laptops, mobile phones and car battery manufacturers as a viable long term strategy for grid scale storage.

Re:Ask HN: Is hydrogen likely to be a major source of power ... by _ph_ on Friday September 25, 2020 @03:55AM (#24587603)
I think your numbers are outdated, that's about the production numbers of Tesla alone, not counting the other manufacturers. And Tesla just announced their plans to move towards 3 TWh/year production rate towards 2030.

Any electric car plugged in is a great buffer for surplus electricity production.

Re:Ask HN: Is hydrogen likely to be a major source of power ... by VBprogrammer on Friday September 25, 2020 @06:53AM (#24588532)
In theory yes, in practice, which electric car charger has a built in 3kw inverter for backfeeding? Have you seen how large a 3kw inverter is? They are also not cheap. Secondly, most homes aren't metered in both directions. What is the ROI of one car plugged into the grid in this system? How much does it depend on how long the vehicle is actually plugged in and whether it is plugged in at useful times.

Taking the number above for installed capacity of pumped hydro. You are looking at nearly half a million cars and homes to match the capacity (assuming 50kwh per vehicle), before considering the plugged in factor.

At say a nice round £1000 to upgrade each home you are already looking at a cool half a billion. Already around the cost of the Dinorwig pumped hydro station before you figure out how to compensate electric car owners for the extra wear on their batteries or the fact that when they leave for work their car is flat because it has been powering your neighbors electric showers.

Re:Ask HN: Is hydrogen likely to be a major source of power ... by _ph_ on Wednesday September 23, 2020 @05:08PM (#24572052)
Yes, in those rather short time periods, energy prices are free. But for those periods, batteries are the better storage solution, as the total amount of "free" energy is rather small. Electrolysis plants would have to run basically 24/7 to be viable. More battery electric cars on the roads also mean a lot of storage for excess electricity. Just use the top 10 to 20 percent of the capacity to absorb production peaks.