Re:When Math Gets Impossibly Hard
by curiousgal on Wednesday September 16, 2020 @04:04PM
(#24497035)
Banks do that all the time with monte carlo simulation. Can't get a closed form solution? Simulate every possible outcome and aggregate them.
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This is neither how a Monte-Carlo process works (it's sampling the possible outcomes randomly, not simulating all outcomes), nor what is described here (building a physical system where an observable value is described by the differential equation one is trying to solve).
Re:When Math Gets Impossibly Hard
by curiousgal on Wednesday September 16, 2020 @06:16PM
(#24498639)
In practice the number of simulated scenarii is quite large which is what I meant by "every". Not rigorous though, I concur.
Monte Carlo methods are used to solve partial differential equations, I found both approaches similar in the sense that they look at how the system actually/could behave, instead of looking at the equations solely.
This is a pedantic response. There isn't an important difference between building a physical system and building a system in code whose generating process is that which you're trying to model. And everyone knew he didn't mean every outcome literally.
Re:When Math Gets Impossibly Hard
by seanhunter on Thursday September 17, 2020 @03:36AM
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Worked in the securities division of a leading investment bank for 8 years including on the equities exotics and hybrids trading desk. And I can confirm that we used to use MC whenever we had something we couldn't price using a closed form method. That said, it's a lot slower and more compute intensive so when you could use a grid pricer or pde solver or whatever people would use that instead.
You're not really simulating every outcome, just a "large enough" representative sample.
As an aside, my dad was a chemical engineer and Newton-Raphson was his equivalent everything-is-a-nail numerical method. We used to use brent root and monte carlo simulation in the same way.
Numerical methods are awesome in general.
Re:When Math Gets Impossibly Hard
by brewmarche on Thursday September 17, 2020 @07:09AM
(#24503200)
There is actually even a connection between PDEs and SDEs (stochastic differential equations), namely the Feynman-Kac formula which is used a lot in financial mathematics, but it generally allows you to switch between the expectation operator and solving a PDE.