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A comment on Bill Gates slams 'shocking' U.S. response to Covid-19 pandemic. Parent comment

Re:Bill Gates slams 'shocking' U.S. response to Covid-19 pan... by nl on Tuesday September 15, 2020 @11:27AM (#24482310)
No credible forecast predicted 2 million deaths by now (I'm sure there were some stupid one that just projected a exponential growth curve forward or something but hopefully they had large disclaimers that they are only accurate very short term).

The CDC in February (back when they weren't compromised) did modelling that predicted between 200,000 and 1.7M deaths in total for the entire epidemic. This March piece from NYT has the details: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/13/us/coronavirus-deaths-est...

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Re:Bill Gates slams 'shocking' U.S. response to Covid-19 pan... by jjcon on Tuesday September 15, 2020 @11:47AM (#24482607)
The imperial college COVID response team (one of the major forecasts) predicted 2.2 million deaths in the US without action.

> without action by the government and individuals to slow the spread of coronavirus and suppress new cases, 2.2 million people in the United States could die

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/16/us/coronavirus-fatality-r...

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Re:Bill Gates slams 'shocking' U.S. response to Covid-19 pan... by nl on Tuesday September 15, 2020 @11:59AM (#24482780)
Sure, that was all time (not by now) though.
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Re:Bill Gates slams 'shocking' U.S. response to Covid-19 pan... by jjcon on Tuesday September 15, 2020 @01:21PM (#24483896)
No - look at the report - projection was >2 million by end of summer
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Re:Bill Gates slams 'shocking' U.S. response to Covid-19 pan... by mensetmanusman on Tuesday September 15, 2020 @12:20PM (#24483054)
Thoughts on the end date?

30,000,000 to 40,000,000 have died from AIDS over the decades for some reference point.

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