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Re:The Fed now owns nearly 1/3 of all U.S. mortgages by tnel77 on Wednesday September 09, 2020 @10:04AM (#24421082)
You don’t treat a couple hundred thousand dollars as an investment? Sounds privileged.
Re:The Fed now owns nearly 1/3 of all U.S. mortgages by gwd on Wednesday September 09, 2020 @10:14AM (#24421184)
I think you've got it backwards. If new cars all cost $200k, would you buy one as an investment? No -- you'd either not buy one (unprivileged) or buy one anyway realizing it's a cost (privileged).

I might spend $100k on a house that I was going to live in for 20-30 years, even if I knew that at the end of that time it was going to be worthless. But I certainly wouldn't spend $500k+ on a house unless I knew I'd be able to sell it for more down the road.

Re:The Fed now owns nearly 1/3 of all U.S. mortgages by bglusman on Thursday September 10, 2020 @10:11AM (#24432514)
Japan is a really interesting case study here... I don't quite understand how it got that way but apparently it's lead to an interesting/good market for really custom designed architecture where people get their exact dream home best they can afford because it's not going to have much value when they leave it anyway? https://www.rethinktokyo.com/2018/06/06/depreciate-limited-l...
Re:The Fed now owns nearly 1/3 of all U.S. mortgages by daed on Wednesday September 09, 2020 @10:57AM (#24421715)
What if the cost of the monthly interest on your mortgage for that $500k house was less than your rent?
Re:The Fed now owns nearly 1/3 of all U.S. mortgages by gwd on Wednesday September 09, 2020 @12:34PM (#24422764)
If it's an interest-only mortgage, and you are sure the value isn't going to go down, then fine.

But if you're putting in capital, you have to factor in the cost of money. There are far better things to do with $500k than to park it in an asset that doesn't appreciate.

And of course, you have to factor in the risk that the price will actually drop. Risk isn't free either: it doesn't make sense to take a risk that you may lose money, unless there's a counter probability that you will actually gain money instead.

Even if your monthly payment was less than your rent, you still might be better off doing something else. To get a good interest rate you need 75% LTV; which means on a $500k house you need to put up $125k up front. You might be better taking that $125k and investing it in an S&P500 index fund, and then paying rent, than taking that $125k and putting it into a house and making a mortgage payment. (Obviously you need to do the actual math here to see if it makes sense or not.)

<EDIT>And of course there's the diversification aspect too. If your net worth is $300k ($500k house + $50k other investments - $250k mortgage), it would normally be a really poor decision to have 166% of that ($300k / $500k) in a single asset, whose value could drop drastically for any number of reasons.

All that to say -- if your house isn't an investment, it had better be significantly cheaper than renting before it makes financial sense.</EDIT>

From a societal flexibility perspective, it's much better if most people rent; particularly poorer people who can't as easily from the economic shock of having their house lose all its value. If the bottom fell out of the economy in the city I'm in, and my house's price dropped by half, I could afford to cut my losses and start over. A lot of people are stuck.

I'm told that Germany is very different. It's not at all expected that people strive to own their own home; people rent the same place for decades and are perfectly happy. Because they've never had out-of-control housing prices (at least, not in the last few decades), they can keep things rational.

If the UK's policies suddenly looked like Germany's I'd probably take a massive haircut on the house I own. Personally, I'd be willing to do that if I knew it would make things better for other people; I'd be OK financially. But a lot of people wouldn't, so I understand why it's difficult to change.

Re:The Fed now owns nearly 1/3 of all U.S. mortgages by sizzle on Wednesday September 09, 2020 @04:42PM (#24425693)
ROI on paying rent vs mortgage is negative due to no equity building and the opportunity cost of that money disappearing vs paying yourself with each principle portion of your mortgage payment.

We all need a place to live so a house serves a physical utility as well that other investments do not, in addition to being able to collect unlimited rent when the mortgage is eventually paid off eventually. I think there is a lot of upside to home ownership if it is financially feasible.

Re:The Fed now owns nearly 1/3 of all U.S. mortgages by tnel77 on Wednesday September 09, 2020 @09:52PM (#24428119)
You say “to get a good interest rate, you need 75% LTV.” Not true. I have a 30 year 3.25% fixed and that was at 95% LTV. Rates are damn good right now.
Re:The Fed now owns nearly 1/3 of all U.S. mortgages by PretzelFisch on Wednesday September 09, 2020 @11:47AM (#24422266)
then you may not be factoring in your total piti. the mortgage payment is a part of total cost of ownership.
Re:The Fed now owns nearly 1/3 of all U.S. mortgages by proverbialbunny on Wednesday September 09, 2020 @01:50PM (#24423705)
It used to be that buying a car was an investment. It's one of the reasons the US got so car happy.
Re:The Fed now owns nearly 1/3 of all U.S. mortgages by _dps on Wednesday September 09, 2020 @02:46PM (#24424318)
It was (and remains) an investment in the sense that it allowed you to live in a nicer place farther from work, or to commute to a job you otherwise couldn't take.

But was it ever an investment as an appreciating asset per se? I'm not aware of such a situation but I'd be interested to learn otherwise.

Re:The Fed now owns nearly 1/3 of all U.S. mortgages by proverbialbunny on Thursday September 10, 2020 @02:12PM (#24434991)
Yes, buying a car was an investment as in you can buy it and then later sell it used for a higher price than you bought it.
Re:The Fed now owns nearly 1/3 of all U.S. mortgages by oppenh3imer on Wednesday September 09, 2020 @10:13AM (#24421166)
If the price of the house rises faster than inflation, it is a good investment. However, rising faster than inflation also means that they become proportionally less affordable over time. You cannot have both affordable housing and high returns from housing
Re:The Fed now owns nearly 1/3 of all U.S. mortgages by dragonwriter on Wednesday September 09, 2020 @10:16AM (#24421205)
> You cannot have both affordable housing and high returns from housing

Sure, you can, but only if real estate in established neighborhoods is more expensive than housing in new neighborhoods, which isn't hyperlocally sustainable but might be sustainable over a broader region.

Re:The Fed now owns nearly 1/3 of all U.S. mortgages by thebean11 on Wednesday September 09, 2020 @10:18AM (#24421237)
You sort of can, but it requires increasing density (so per square foot stays similar but those with low incomes can still afford a small place) or older neighborhoods becoming more expensive than newer neighborhoods (happens all the time).
Re:The Fed now owns nearly 1/3 of all U.S. mortgages by egsmi on Wednesday September 09, 2020 @11:51AM (#24422318)
Increasing density likely implies displacing the people presently in the expensive neighborhood for construction. In the U.S. anyway, that’s easier said than done. So that’s definitely a theoretical solution but I’m not sure how practical it is.
Re:The Fed now owns nearly 1/3 of all U.S. mortgages by thebean11 on Wednesday September 09, 2020 @11:54AM (#24422348)
Displacing sure, but it's almost always voluntary! Zoning rules change, and developers start offering the big bucks for existing homeowners to sell.

It's starting to happen in Austin: duplexes/fourplexes are getting built in some of the nicer, more central areas.

Re:The Fed now owns nearly 1/3 of all U.S. mortgages by adamredwoods on Wednesday September 09, 2020 @12:33PM (#24422758)
Also, inflation causes the value of debt to decrease over time. (Wages are sticky, but when they catch up, inflation causes debt to go down as the value of currency decreases.)