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Re:How satellite ‘megaconstellations’ will photobomb astrono... by simion314 on Thursday August 27, 2020 @08:50AM (#24293124)
The launch costs is just a small part of the total costs.

You destroy my house and I should be happy you offer me a discount when I buy new blueprints from you.

Re:How satellite ‘megaconstellations’ will photobomb astrono... by valuearb on Thursday August 27, 2020 @10:57AM (#24294287)
Historically this has only been true because of the immense cost of building super lightweight payloads using super expensive super light materials to fit in very limited payload mass requirements.

Falcon 9 is a heavy launch system that can lift up to 50,000 lbs of payload to orbit, similar to the Shuttle.

Falcon Heavy is a super heavy launch system that can put 140,000 lbs of payload in orbit.

Starship is designed to be significantly cheaper than both of the Falcons, and to put over 200,000 lbs of payload in orbit with a far larger fairing size (though Falcon Heavy is getting a larger fairing shortly).

These are all game changers the scientific and commercial space customers haven’t yet taken advantage of.

Re:How satellite ‘megaconstellations’ will photobomb astrono... by simion314 on Thursday August 27, 2020 @01:31PM (#24296154)
Your argument is incomplete, I said that transport in space is a small part of the costs. You can't just move the existing telescopes in space. You need special space telescopes, with special mechanical and electronic system with high reliability. You could say maybe Elon can send 6000 shit telescope that will work for 6 months and will be an equivalent to an average ground telescope.,
Re:How satellite ‘megaconstellations’ will photobomb astrono... by welterde on Thursday August 27, 2020 @12:21PM (#24295219)
You are forgetting that the telescope has to work in space. Big thermal swings, no easy air cooling, no AC outlet to get your power from, no convenient anchoring point for your telescope to push against to point a certain direction, no just bolting several racks full of off-the-shelve electronics to the telescope (none of them work in vacuum), no possibility to repair or upgrade anything, ...

Having to use lightweight materials is the least of your worries (and not even that expensive - and sometimes done for ground-based instruments as well).

Re:How satellite ‘megaconstellations’ will photobomb astrono... by TeMPOraL on Thursday August 27, 2020 @07:33PM (#24299876)
With much cheaper launch costs, you can afford to send a couple more robust telescopes.

That's the vicious cycle of space mission costs put in reverse. The missions are expensive today, because launches are expensive, meaning you have one shot at doing your decade-long project, so you need to max out on risk mitigation - increasing your project length, labor costs, and launch mass. Significant drops in launch costs and increases in cadence translate to ability to launch much less robust mission (and launch a replacement if/when it fails), which drops the costs all across the board.

> Big thermal swings, no easy air cooling, no AC outlet to get your power from, no convenient anchoring point for your telescope to push against to point a certain direction, no just bolting several racks full of off-the-shelve electronics to the telescope

While by no means easy, that's still table stakes for space missions, and something there's decades of experience in around the world.

> none of them work in vacuum

Nobody is, nor was, sending the equivalent of a ground telescope installation upwell. You only send the looking part, with a downlink bolted on them. You do control and data processing planetside.

> no possibility to repair or upgrade anything

Cheap launches = you can replace. Even cheaper launches = you can try to repair. We'll need to develop that capability anyway, if we want a cislunar space economy.

Re:How satellite ‘megaconstellations’ will photobomb astrono... by simion314 on Friday August 28, 2020 @02:39AM (#24301985)
>The missions are expensive today, because launches are expensive

I do not believe that. The hardware and software is expensive because regular stuff will fail in space and you can't call some guy to just go and replace parts. I know it was done but it was expensive and risky.

There are many existing communication and navigation satellites but not that many space telescopes so I think this proves that launching shit is not prohibitive expensive but I will read any claim that proves you right.

Re:How satellite ‘megaconstellations’ will photobomb astrono... by TeMPOraL on Friday August 28, 2020 @03:50AM (#24302390)
> I do not believe that. The hardware and software is expensive because regular stuff will fail in space and you can't call some guy to just go and replace parts. I know it was done but it was expensive and risky.

Radhard stuff is expensive, but not that expensive. Also space missions don't need all that much compute - they carry only as much as is needed to operate the hardware and maintain a radio link with Earth. You don't use more than you absolutely need to, because more compute = more power demands = more waste heat => need more thermal management => heavier satellite => need to cut down mass (or power demands) somewhere else => ballooning R&D costs => ...

Look, I'm not making this up. It's widely known in the industry. See e.g. [0] and [1] for the first two references I could find. I actually learned about this concept from some NASA report that featured a beautiful flowchart, but I can't find it now for the life of me. But the phenomenon is real, and that's why SpaceX has been a big deal in space circles for years now. More and cheaper launches translate to a qualitative difference in how we approach space systems.

> There are many existing communication and navigation satellites but not that many space telescopes so I think this proves that launching shit is not prohibitive expensive

Communication satellites pay back for themselves in rent the owners can extract from the users. Navigation satellites are first and foremost military projects with huge implications for national security of the states that own them - which gives them almost infinite budgets. Space telescopes are research platforms funded by taxpayers, most of whom don't understand the importance and don't care to. Astronomy can't afford space telescopes at current prices.

--

[0] - https://www.thespacereview.com/article/1121/1

[1] - https://www.thespacereview.com/article/1918/1

Re:How satellite ‘megaconstellations’ will photobomb astrono... by simion314 on Friday August 28, 2020 @07:58AM (#24303818)
You can't launch a 40m diameter telescope and so you would need to launch more smaller ones, then you would need to physically connect them so they are perfectly sync(can't be done in software or with imperfect distance/teime measurements). You also need all the optical and mechanical stuff to survive the launch, the difference of tempreture and pressure from getting moved from the ground to space etc.

What I am saying if Elon or Jeff makes a telescope work harder or impossible they should pay for fixing the issue not the public and it should be fixed today not in 50 years. Also a tax on opoluttion would make the management at SpaceX considering using different paints(or doing more with less) in before the satellite is designed and not after bad PR.

IMO you did not convince me that the reason we don't have tons of space telescopes is the launch price.

IMO we will probably need to have a few bases on the Moon and build telescopes there to get around the light pollution.

Re:How satellite ‘megaconstellations’ will photobomb astrono... by TeMPOraL on Friday August 28, 2020 @12:36PM (#24306885)
> What I am saying if Elon or Jeff makes a telescope work harder or impossible they should pay for fixing the issue not the public and it should be fixed today not in 50 years.

SpaceX is doing what it can to "fix it". There's not much more that can be done beyond just not launching satellites. At this point, you have to choose whether you want clean skies or humanity spacefaring; you can't have both. I'm strongly in the "humanity spacefaring" camp, especially that once some sort of permanent industrial presence is established in the cislunar space, we will be able to build large telescopes in orbit or on the Moon.

> IMO you did not convince me that the reason we don't have tons of space telescopes is the launch price.

I'm trying my best :). Consider also economies of scale: expensive launches means your payload is pretty much unique, which makes it expensive. Cheap launches means you can make more, which drives architecture & hardware standardization, which lets manufacturing scale up, reducing its costs significantly.

Re:How satellite ‘megaconstellations’ will photobomb astrono... by simion314 on Friday August 28, 2020 @01:50PM (#24307839)
Still, so maybe we should be mathematical about this: how much it costs to fix this and tax every new satellite proportional with it's pollution. SpaceX tried to "fix" things only when bad PR hit them, before that some leaders there decided that this is not an issue.

The tax would also insensitivese to launch better/smaller satellites and not abuse the fact that launch is cheap so let's put as many stuff in orbit because we can (maybe US can get their shit together and use cables for internet like rest of the world) so Internet satellites would be used only by remote communities. IMO if you managed to somehow have electricity and old fashion telephone cables then what the hell is expensive to drag a new cable for internet to this places ?

Re:How satellite ‘megaconstellations’ will photobomb astrono... by TeMPOraL on Friday August 28, 2020 @03:20PM (#24308916)
> Still, so maybe we should be mathematical about this: how much it costs to fix this and tax every new satellite proportional with it's pollution.

That hinges on the quantifying and pricing of the solution. A smart accountant could probably figure out a fair calculation (something along the lines of % of wasted observation time, against operating costs of telescope facility in that time + depreciation). I'd love to see it.

> SpaceX tried to "fix" things only when bad PR hit them, before that some leaders there decided that this is not an issue.

I'll concede on this since I haven't been following the story until it hit media, and only then I've heard about SpaceX painting the satellites. I'm guessing they just didn't consider it at all, or were betting on astronomers not being that upset.

> IMO if you managed to somehow have electricity and old fashion telephone cables then what the hell is expensive to drag a new cable for internet to this places ?

That was before telcom monopolies, and also before people figured out they can hold infrastructure projects ransom, or block them out of spite, just because they own a piece of land that needs to be dug up or paved over.

Re:How satellite ‘megaconstellations’ will photobomb astrono... by welterde on Friday August 28, 2020 @05:52AM (#24303115)
> Nobody is, nor was, sending the equivalent of a ground telescope installation upwell. You only send the looking part, with a downlink bolted on them. You do control and data processing planetside.

That rack full of electronics is the looking part (temperature controllers, power supplies, CCD controllers, motor controllers, ...). The data processing happens in a server rack on the other side of the planet in either case (ground-based or space-based).

And you somehow are under the impression that telescopes and instruments are so cheap that it doesn't matter if we loose one every year and then just launch another one. If that were the case we would be building dozens of 3m+ telescopes all over the planet every year - but we are not, because we don't have the money to do that.

Telescopes are multi-decade investments by the institutes, so even with free (free!) launches exactly as much testing will be done as before, because we can still only afford one shot.

Re:How satellite ‘megaconstellations’ will photobomb astrono... by valuearb on Thursday August 27, 2020 @01:27PM (#24296099)
I didn’t say it was easy, just easier.
Re:How satellite ‘megaconstellations’ will photobomb astrono... by iso1210 on Thursday August 27, 2020 @09:49AM (#24293648)
More like "you build something ugly opposite my house"
Re:How satellite ‘megaconstellations’ will photobomb astrono... by simion314 on Thursday August 27, 2020 @01:35PM (#24296211)
Disagree, if I make a factory in China that generates some ugly clouds so you can't see your beautiful sky anymore, then if you complain I give you a discount on my airlines so you can fly above the clouds and see the sky for the first time. It could happen if we let companies pollute for free.
Re:How satellite ‘megaconstellations’ will photobomb astrono... by iso1210 on Friday August 28, 2020 @05:02AM (#24302842)
I have a view over the ocean. Along comes Shell and builds an oil rig, thus spoiling my view.

I have a view over the ocean, 50 miles up the coast in another country a marina opens, and dozens of sailing ships start arriving over the hour.

I have a view, and an airport opens down the road, I'm now under a flight path, not only is my view obscured, I'm getting noise too.

Re:How satellite ‘megaconstellations’ will photobomb astrono... by simion314 on Friday August 28, 2020 @02:45PM (#24308542)
There is a thing called pollution and light pollution is a thing,

So you have a home and someone makes noise so you can't sleep, you have a home and your neighbor has pig shit in his backyard and the smell enters in your yard.

Also I amargueing from a public(international) point of view. As an individual with terrible eyes sight I already can't see the stars anymore.