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A comment on My AI Timelines Have Sped Up. Parent comment

Re:My AI Timelines Have Sped Up by majewsky on Wednesday August 26, 2020 @06:05PM (#24287830)
> 90% chance we'll have AGI* in 50 years? I would bet money against that prediction if I could.

You cannot make a bet on a statement of probability. It's unfalsifiable (unless, within the next 50 years, someone finds a way to take a random sample of the multiverse).

[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:My AI Timelines Have Sped Up by Engineering-MD on Wednesday August 26, 2020 @06:36PM (#24288100)
Well you just bet against an Odds which you perceive would net you a positive outcome surely? That’s all that you do with any uncertain gambling
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