Re:My AI Timelines Have Sped Up
by bigiain on Wednesday August 26, 2020 @12:34AM
(#24279152)
> I will eat my hat if an AI in 50 years can generate a full length, original hollywood-esque movie that I enjoy. Heck, I'll even settle for a book that can rival human authors.
and
> Yes, it's not true AGI but AI that replaces 95% of all jobs
To be fair, being able to create an enjoyable full length hollywood-esque movie or becoming an author that can write a (creative and entertaining) book is something well under 5% of humans are capable of doing.
Perhaps you're setting the bar for AGI too high there? Does it really need to excel and exceed the capabilities of the very best of human attempts at movie making and book writing to be considered "AGI", when the vast majority of humanity can not do that?
(Also, I suspect 95% of jobs probably actively discourage "creative juice" being used. And nobody really wants to found their startup with someone who's "just an ideas guy!", if all he's ever contributing is "creative juice".)
and
> Yes, it's not true AGI but AI that replaces 95% of all jobs
To be fair, being able to create an enjoyable full length hollywood-esque movie or becoming an author that can write a (creative and entertaining) book is something well under 5% of humans are capable of doing.
Perhaps you're setting the bar for AGI too high there? Does it really need to excel and exceed the capabilities of the very best of human attempts at movie making and book writing to be considered "AGI", when the vast majority of humanity can not do that?
(Also, I suspect 95% of jobs probably actively discourage "creative juice" being used. And nobody really wants to found their startup with someone who's "just an ideas guy!", if all he's ever contributing is "creative juice".)