Re:Code for The Economist's election model for 2020
by throwaway2245 on Monday August 24, 2020 @03:47PM
(#24264679)
I'm not saying this was intentional, but there is a very high incentive for them to deliver this type of outcome.
There is not enough data to back-test their model on a single election which happens every 4 years, so the claim that a 60% prediction is fundamentally very different from a 95% prediction is statistically dubious.
There is not enough data to back-test their model on a single election which happens every 4 years, so the claim that a 60% prediction is fundamentally very different from a 95% prediction is statistically dubious.