Code for The Economist's election model for 2020

Re:Code for The Economist's election model for 2020 by panarky on Saturday August 22, 2020 @12:53PM (#24245402)

So you're saying that 538 wanted an uncertain outcome and hacked the model design and parameters to deliver the outcome they wanted?

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Re:Code for The Economist's election model for 2020 by throwaway2245 on Monday August 24, 2020 @03:47PM (#24264679)

I'm not saying this was intentional, but there is a very high incentive for them to deliver this type of outcome.

There is not enough data to back-test their model on a single election which happens every 4 years, so the claim that a 60% prediction is fundamentally very different from a 95% prediction is statistically dubious.

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