Re:Code for The Economist's election model for 2020
by sukilot on Saturday August 22, 2020 @01:44PM
(#24245761)
Pollsters know about preference falsification and try to model it.
Re:Code for The Economist's election model for 2020
by acituan on Saturday August 22, 2020 @02:47PM
(#24246257)
No doubt they would try, but their prediction is bound to be at best as good as predicting the preference without asking the preference, which makes it profiling and not polling anymore. And as OP suggests, they failed at this spectacularly.
Not sure why you are getting downvotes. This phenomenon has been academically researched and documented under the name “preference falsification” with many past examples. If anyone is interested the 1995 book “Private Truths, Public Lies” is on this research.