Re:Telegram messaging app proves crucial to Belarus protests
by 07t15 on Friday August 21, 2020 @07:59PM
(#24240217)
Even if the sample size is the same size as the population?
Re:Telegram messaging app proves crucial to Belarus protests
by kube-system on Saturday August 22, 2020 @01:26AM
(#24241813)
1. Possibly, if they are different populations.
2. This sample in the Telegram poll is ~20% the number of voters in Belarus.
Re:Telegram messaging app proves crucial to Belarus protests
by snovv_crash on Friday August 21, 2020 @05:56PM
(#24239292)
So what it it wasn't random, but captured 90% of the population?
Re:Telegram messaging app proves crucial to Belarus protests
by kube-system on Friday August 21, 2020 @06:04PM
(#24239352)
Where are you seeing 90%?
The poll itself says 59% of the 2.3m respondents were people who voted in the election.
That's 1.4m people, which is 15% of their population and 21% of their eligible voting population.
Re:Telegram messaging app proves crucial to Belarus protests
by freeone3000 on Saturday August 22, 2020 @12:08AM
(#24241468)
Forget the percentage - there are more people who said they voted for the second-place contender than the second-place contender's official vote count.
Re:Telegram messaging app proves crucial to Belarus protests
by kube-system on Saturday August 22, 2020 @01:36AM
(#24241859)
Yes, clearly the evidence demonstrates the election results are less than trustworthy.
But that’s not what I was taking issue with. Above, I was disputing the claim that a large sample size “guarantees correctness”
Likely, neither this Telegram poll nor the election are statistically sound in their results, for different reasons.
I am not saying that the Telegram poll has to be statistically sound to be valuable evidence.
If there is an issue with the underlying polling technique, making the sample larger does not guarantee more correctness. You simply end up with a larger set of bad data.