Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition
by syshum on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @05:24PM
(#24216743)
I take your anecdote, and raise my own as I have had several family members die in a car crash, and zero die of Covid soo....
Your anecdote is not more valid than mine.
>>The Australian statistics
it seems Australian drive about 30% fewer miles per year on average;
in the US the risk of death in Auto Accident is 1 in 106, or .95% which I think is close enough to 1% to give the Grand Parent a little slack
Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition
by Rapzid on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @06:16PM
(#24217408)
Lifetime odds.
They were projecting 3 million may have died if we did nothing over a matter of months; 100 years worth of auto fatalities..
Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition
by syshum on Thursday August 20, 2020 @07:12AM
(#24222015)
I think we can safely say at this point that those projections were widely inaccurate and have been dis proven several times now as they were based on a completely inaccurate and incomplete data set.
Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition
by Rapzid on Sunday August 23, 2020 @03:57AM
(#24250361)
So, the CDC currently believes well over 200k people have died in the USA as a result of COVID-19. That's with the lock-downs and all the other measures we have taken.
What are the current projections on how many deaths would have occurred if we did nothing?
I don't think that statistic is even close to right. I know exactly zero people who have died in a car crash. Many of them are quite old.
The Australian statistics suggest that the odds of anyone in Australia dying of a car crash are 0.0000478 per person per year. This is considerably smaller than your statistic and so I am going to dispute it, at the risk of you thinking I am stupid.