People put a lot of weight into early proprietary models that turned out to be absolute garbage.

> But given that asymptomatic adults might have long term negative effects

Unfortunately, there's no control for these assumptions. People are exposed to all sorts of things over their lifetime. Not everyone produces antibodies, so there will be no definitive way to link any person having an infection and any long term effects. Need to establish the risk compared to existing baseline.

So far, deaths are down for the year, so everyone's switched to 'unknown long term effects.'