White House, no, but no doubt there are career officers and civilians in the Pentagon who have gamed this out in excruciating detail. I'm sure this was done even before the current administration came into power.

It matters little with irrational decisionmaking overruling and abusing wargame results.

"I think they're in the last throes, if you will, of the insurgency."

-- Vice President Dick Cheney, 2005-06-20

Cheney is

1. A thoroughly mendacious character 2. A moron

A lot of people ascribe malice to him, but it’s clear as day that he was in over his head with the entire project. Basically 0 of his goals have been achieved 17 years in.

So I would say that while the appearance of competent war games was there, it was a charade.

He was involved in a war of aggression, and his company made a bit of money both for destruction and rebuiling, did it not? And we can't even begin to guess how many "buddies" profited. At any rate, he's not in jail, and I think that is way too much success than is acceptable. He may be a moron, he certainly is a fool, but then what does that say about the ~300 million people in whose name he did his crimes, to live happily and smugly ever after?

That will be part of the game design surely. If push comes to shove the war games will matter a lot.