With all the instability of a once-in-a-century pandemic, the S&P is still up 1% today from where it was January 1. Specific large companies' stock like Amazon, Apple, and Tesla are up 50-300% since January.
The issue of saving for retirement is complex, thinking on a 10-40 year horizon as the world continues to change and evolve. But this is a bizarre time to be complaining about stocks as an investment.
Cars depreciate. Rent, medical services, and groceries don't return any money when you're done using them. Houses should be thought of as consumption first and a store of value second. Sure by buying as soon as you can you are betting on appreciation in value. Houses aren't a good investment compared with even a bond mutual fund. There's a 6% transaction cost, closing costs, you have to pay mortgage interest, property tax, maintenance, insurance, utilities, and maybe even PMI. A single event like a hurricane or unfavorable neighborhood evolution can wipe you out (extreme concentration risk); a single bond issuer declaring bankruptcy is a risk that can be diversified away.
Rental properties are normally cash-flow positive, including payments on their mortgage. This means that buying a comparable unit that depriciates to $0 over a period of 30 years is still expected to be a net positive.
I’m saying buying a home shouldn’t cost that much. See here’s the insidious thing about housing costing so much - when you were younger you surely didn’t want to spend so much on a house. You don’t want your kids to spend so much either. And if you didn’t spend so much you would never have cared so much if it drops in value.
But now that you have spent that much, you want it to cost the same, even though that perpetuates a system that punished you, your kids and your grandkids.
Do you really want to defend this? Does it boil down to yeah it sucks that houses cost so much but now that I have mine I want to slam the door on the younger generation?
And note that this isn't about things depreciating and falling apart. It's more about various policies that affect house prices indirectly. The existing arrangement, when you distill it down, pretty much means that once somebody becomes a homeowner, they have an economic incentive to make home ownership for other people as hard as possible, because it props their investment (and if they own more than one, and rent some out, lets them raise the rent higher).
How else can we think about an expense of hundreds of thousands of dollars? It's ludicrous to spend that much on something assuming it'll just depreciate and fall apart on you, worthless. I understand that you're not paying rent in a home, so it's serving a purpose, but they aren't exactly equivalent in terms of upkeep and taxes.
At this point, given the instability in the market I have no idea what is the wise move to put money into for retirement. Investments have tanked and I don't know at what point they'll recover, interest rates are abysmal, and apparently our homes should be worth nothing. There's really no practical, accessible way to invest.