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Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by quickthrowman on Tuesday July 21, 2020 @07:42PM (#23912161)
> But have you considered that they _genuinely_ belive that minimal government and more privatization leads to overall better results? It might just be that they have good intensions, that they really wish for a better outcome for all.

Yes, and that makes it even worse. They’re so out of touch with common people and so insulated from routine everyday life, their opinion shouldn’t count for anything.

I don’t care if joe programmer on HN or Jeff the General Contractor at the bar are advocating for dismantling the post office because of libertarian ideology, because they have neither the power nor resources to affect change.

I do care when insanely wealthy billionaires who are completely insulated from the rest of society argue for horseshit like this because they have power to change it, and it’s for ideological reasons.

It’s pure narcissism to argue for a position that would negatively affect millions of people when the one arguing for change wouldn’t suffer one damn bit and in effect disregard everyone else’s suffering for their ideological bullshit position.

The existence of billionaires combined with Citizens United is an actual problem, the post office is not.

Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by bmitc on Tuesday July 21, 2020 @07:50PM (#23912216)
I agree with you in that wealthy people are given too much power in the U.S. In the U.S., becoming wealthy has somehow become a fast pass to do basically whatever you want and inflict change that could affect millions of people negatively or be self-beneficial (to the wealthy person) or both.

Allowing individuals to accumulate so much wealth is just not good for the common people, and the fact that our government is so inept at managing money isn't a good enough reason to allow individuals to reach such power and wealth. If they are allowed to accumulate such wealth, there should be much stronger laws preventing their influence in government policies.

Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by coliveira on Tuesday July 21, 2020 @08:13PM (#23912409)
Americans understood this fully well 100 years ago. That's why we nowadays still have laws against monopolies (antitrust). The antitrust laws were created not just for an abstract reason, they were meant to curtail the power of the Robber Barons of the time, who managed to create powerful companies and control large parts of the country's economy and politics. Due to propaganda spread by the same kind of people, we are now almost in a similar situation, with a small group holding almost unmitigated power over the country. At this point billionaires are only disputing among themselves for the direction of the country, they really don't care the least for what you and me think.
Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by 8ytecoder on Tuesday July 21, 2020 @07:54PM (#23912239)
Almost like a warlord. They have the power to rule us (albeit indirectly) with their wealth and lobbying power instead of weapons and fear.
Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by Frondo on Tuesday July 21, 2020 @08:45PM (#23912677)
When I saw that Jeff Bezos increased his wealth by $13 billion in a single day recently, when 28 million Americans are facing potential eviction, I just thought...we have kings again.
Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by 8ytecoder on Tuesday July 21, 2020 @07:52PM (#23912234)
It’s also extremely hypothetical. And counter examples on why it won’t work is plenty abound. The concept that market and competition will result in better services and price and efficient operations is true only when then there are checks and balances in place. Market collusion, using monopoly power to squish and consolidate power and extort people happen in almost every industry. I do share their concern that govt enterprises can become corrupt or complacent but I don’t share the the view that the solution is privatisation. Our elected government officials are also corrupt, should we throw away democracy?
Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by quickthrowman on Tuesday July 21, 2020 @07:56PM (#23912261)
Agreed, there are no truly free capitalist markets in the US, except maybe black markets.

The USPS is damn good at delivering the mail, I don’t trust any private company to treat a first-class letter with the care the USPS generally does.

The Post Office actually makes money, but they’re legally required to fund a new hire’s entire projected pension at the time of hiring which lets Republicans point at how the post office loses money when it was done that way on purpose.

Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by nickff on Tuesday July 21, 2020 @08:02PM (#23912326)
What you're saying about pension payments is all wrong. They have the same obligation to fund promised benefits as any private company (which is different from government entities), and they haven't been making the payments.[1]

[1] https://www.forbes.com/sites/ebauer/2020/04/14/post-office-p...

Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by coliveira on Tuesday July 21, 2020 @08:19PM (#23912473)
The situation of pensions is that the USPS is required by a law created by republicans to pre-pay their retirement fund for the next 75 years, something that no company in the world does. Not only this, but the money they pay is being diverted to the general government accounts, so it is possible that in the future the pension money is not there anyway, if the government decide not to provide the money in the future. The law had two draconian results: the USPS has to operate in the red, and the government has additional revenue that facilitated the tax cuts proposed by republicans.
Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by nickff on Tuesday July 21, 2020 @08:56PM (#23912766)
Quote from the Forbes article I linked to:

>"FACT: ALL companies are required to fund any pension promises they make to their employees. (The only exceptions are for top executives, who can lose their pensions if a company goes bankrupt, and for entities that aren’t actually “companies” - state and local governments and churches.) NONE of them are permitted to take a “pay as you go” approach but must contribute to a pension fund an amount equivalent to what a worker has accrued that year in benefit promises, regardless of how far into the future that worker will be retiring, and must make up for any shortfalls due to asset losses or other reasons. The USPS and private sector companies use the same general actuarial principles to do so, though there are differences in assumptions, particulars of the calculations, etc."

Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by coliveira on Tuesday July 21, 2020 @09:23PM (#23912968)
The lie in this article is hidden here: "though there are differences in assumptions, particulars of the calculations..."

Companies need to fund their pension plans, but only for the portion of time the worker has been employed by them. For example, for FY 2020, the company needs to set aside money corresponding to an additional year of work. But for the USPS, the law requires it to set aside money assuming that the worker will work his entire career for USPS, and project all retirement costs 75 years into the future, even for workers that they haven't even hired yet. In actuary, this is the difference between "actual vested liability", and "total projected liability". The result is clearly absurd. Moreover, this money is not staying in USPS retirement accounts, is going to the government. So it doesn't even guarantee that the money will be there for USPS workers. To add to the injury, USPS is allowed only to invest on treasury bonds, which means that they need to raise even more money than a private company, which is free to invest in any high grade bond.

https://www.businessinsider.com/usps-rise-fall-post-office-c...

Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by treis on Tuesday July 21, 2020 @08:56PM (#23912770)
>USPS is required by a law created by republicans to pre-pay their retirement fund for the next 75 years

The USPS is required to pre-pay the pension costs they have incurred. It's not pre-paying the retirement fund for 75 years. It's putting money aside so that you have the money to pay your 25 year old worker the money you promised them when they're 100.

Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by coliveira on Tuesday July 21, 2020 @09:30PM (#23913016)
Incorrect, please do some research and see that it is not like this. For example, here is the article from Business Insider:

"[the law] required the post office to calculate all of its retiree pension and healthcare costs for the next 75 years, including for people it hadn't even hired yet, and put away enough over the next 10 years to cover them. To put this in perspective, that'd be like you only working from age 18 to 28 and then expecting to live on that income until you were 103 years old."

Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by treis on Tuesday July 21, 2020 @09:49PM (#23913144)
>MYTH: the USPS is required to fund pensions for the next 75 years, for workers who haven’t even been born.

>“[T]he PAEA required the Postal Service to calculate all of its likely pension costs over the next 75 years, and then sock away enough money between 2007 and 2016 to cover most of them.” The Week, April 16, 2018.

>FACT: the actuarial valuation methods used by the USPS are based only on accruals attributed to past service, no different than any other such valuation.

>The Postal Service Retiree Health Benefit Fund (PSRHBF) is a USPS-specific fund, and its 10-K report specifies that it uses the “aggregate entry age normal acturarial cost method.” For pension benefits, employees participate in the CSRS and FERS general civil servant pensions, using the same method. In this method, yes, the actuary calculates the value of all benefits to be paid out in the future, due to past and future service, and then subtracts out the value of the future accruals, to calculate the actuarial liability. In addition, the Civil Service Retirement and Disability Fund calculates a projection of liabilities 75 years into the future in its annual report, but this does not mean that 75 years’ worth of future accruals are advance-funded, only that the long-term sustainability of the system is measured over a 75-year period.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/ebauer/2020/04/14/post-office-p...

Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by coliveira on Tuesday July 21, 2020 @10:57PM (#23913483)
This is saying basically the same thing in a different language.

> In this method, yes, the actuary calculates the value of all benefits to be paid out in the future, due to past and future service, and then subtracts out the value of the future accruals, to calculate the actuarial liability.

I.e., the USPS has to raise the money to fund liabilities for 75 years, and it had to do so in 10 years, which essentially meant that they had to operate in the red making its financial situation even more complicated.

Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by treis on Tuesday July 21, 2020 @11:25PM (#23913621)
No, it's very different.

Your cite says they had to put aside money for all their pension costs over the next 75 years. Including people they haven't even hired yet.

My cite says that they had to calculate pension costs payable over the next 75 years that they already incurred. That's a much smaller number and matches the requirements for private companies.

Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by coliveira on Wednesday July 22, 2020 @12:26AM (#23913921)
What is the part of "calculates the value of all benefits to be paid out in the future, due to past and future service" that you don't understand? Congress required all possible benefits present and future be calculated (subtracting only future accruals, i.e., gains in investments) and then that money had to be raised over 10 years. That is never required from companies, which have to fund only the portion of pensions that they effectively supposed to pay based on current liabilities, not what they will be projected to owe in the future.

You can find the explanation in several articles, for example:

"[the law] requires the self-supporting U.S. Postal Service, which receives not one dime in taxpayer subsidies, to fully fund its retirees’ health benefits for 75 years into the future. It also requires that money be set aside over a 10-year period, at a rate of more than $5 billion per year.

That means the postal service is now paying for the future health care of retirees it has not yet hired, and who in some cases have not yet been born. No other public or private company in the nation bears any kind of financial burden like that.

Even worse, none of that money is truly being set aside. Instead, it is going directly into the U.S. government’s general fund, and it’s being spent on current government operations. The set-aside is a theoretical accounting gimmick. Those future retirement liabilities are actually being added to the national debt."

https://roanoke.com/news/local/casey-the-most-insane-law-by-...

Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by treis on Wednesday July 22, 2020 @09:28AM (#23916720)
>What is the part of "calculates the value of all benefits to be paid out in the future, due to past and future service" that you don't understand?

Because pensions go up with years of service you have to account for the worker continuing to work when calculating pension liability. As an example, say a pension vests after 5 years. What should the pension cost be for an employee in year 2? The best answer is something like 1/5 of the NPV of their pension.

That's what they mean by "benefits to be paid out... due to .. future service".

>That means the postal service is now paying for the future health care of retirees it has not yet hired,

Did you not see the part of my cite where that is specifically called a myth?

Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by coliveira on Wednesday July 22, 2020 @01:41PM (#23919544)
It is very difficult to debate with someone who doesn't understand the very logic of how pensions work. No company in the world will pay the NPV of a future pension. Like any other person or institution, they will start making contributions over time to meet the requirements of that pension 20, 30, 50 years from now. To require otherwise is absurd. For example, suppose you are retiring 30 years from now. You cannot assume that you have to calculate the NPV of the required pension in 30 years and then contribute that value today. Like any normal person you will setup a plan to contribute towards a pension that will be available 30 from now, with the required amount. The same happens with any company. In fact, when you hear someone calculating the NPV of pensions that will be paid 20 to 50 years in the future, you most probably are talking to a republican who wants to "prove" that public pensions are insolvent. This is the pattern I've seen.
Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by treis on Wednesday July 22, 2020 @02:07PM (#23919835)
>You cannot assume that you have to calculate the NPV of the required pension in 30 years and then contribute that value today

?

Did you not read my post where it said:

> The best answer is something like 1/5 of the NPV of their pension.

Of course nobody is required to pay the entire NPV of the pension today. For an employee that is retiring in 30 years they are required to pay 1/30th of the NPV of their pension each year. That's what the USPS is required to do. They're not being required to pay the entire cost of their employee pensions up front.

Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by coliveira on Thursday July 23, 2020 @01:34PM (#23929881)
Let's run the numbers and see if it works the way you say: In 2005, the last year used by the 2006 congress law, the unfunded liabilities of USPS were determined as between $50 and 59 billion [1]. In 2006, congress required USPS to make 10 payments of $5.5 billion. This doesn't meet your characterization os a 1/30th of NPV each year! It is basically paying to whole NPV in a staggered 10 years pre-payment plan.

1: https://about.usps.com/who-we-are/financials/annual-reports/... (page 26)

Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by refurb on Tuesday July 21, 2020 @08:14PM (#23912417)
The USPS is damn good at delivering the mail

That hasn’t been my experience in the least. Terrible customer service, packages lost, packages requiring signatures left on door step.

And the best is when my package says “delivered” yet shows up 3 days later.

Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by quickthrowman on Tuesday July 21, 2020 @08:16PM (#23912430)
Thanks for sharing your anecdote, but you left out the rest of the sentence that provides context for the word ‘mail’ when you quoted me. I was explicitly referring to first-class letters, not packages. I believe first-class mail is better left to the USPS.
Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by refurb on Tuesday July 21, 2020 @08:34PM (#23912585)
Meh... I’ve had issues with first class mail as well. My neighbor getting my letters, I even had a letter torn open and the check taken. Turns out it was a postal employee but at least the postmaster followed up.
Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by quickthrowman on Tuesday July 21, 2020 @09:40PM (#23913085)
That’s unfortunate to hear, sounds like you’ve had some bad luck with the USPS. I can see why you took issue with my claim that the USPS is good about delivering the mail, I’d be frustrated if I was you as well.
Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by AnthonyMouse on Tuesday July 21, 2020 @08:15PM (#23912427)
> Agreed, there are no truly free capitalist markets in the US, except maybe black markets.

Are you kidding? They're all the markets nobody talks about because they're working.

Go to the store and buy a chair. There are a hundred different kinds. Any kind you like. The barrier to entry is low. There are many competitors.

> The Post Office actually makes money

The problem with the Post Office isn't that they don't make money (though having to be bailed out by the taxpayer is unacceptable for any reason, and the pension thing was at the behest of the USPS union rather than the Republicans). The problem with it is that they have a monopoly on carrying mail which prevents customers from enjoying the benefits of competition.

Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by quickthrowman on Tuesday July 21, 2020 @08:21PM (#23912484)
> Are you kidding? They're all the markets nobody talks about because they're working. Go to the store and buy a chair. There are a hundred different kinds. Any kind you like. The barrier to entry is low. There are many competitors.

I was operating under the assumption that a market that has tariffs on foreign goods [0] is not ‘truly free’ but perhaps you disagree.

[0] https://myhfa.org/tariff-relief-doesnt-apply-to-furniture-fr...

> USPS problem is a lack of competition

Do you expect a private company to service every single rural address that currently receives mail for the same or lower price? We can’t even get ISPs to wire the entire country.

Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by AnthonyMouse on Tuesday July 21, 2020 @08:35PM (#23912595)
> I was operating under the assumption that a market that has tariffs on foreign goods [0] is not ‘truly free’ but perhaps you disagree.

But now you're just being pedantic. You could make the same argument about taxes, where some states have higher property taxes so factories there have a competitive disadvantage and so on. But then you can't even make the same claim of black markets because their illegality increases costs.

In practice what matters is not whether there is some kind of ideologically pure anarchist vision of freedom which requires no government to exist anywhere in the world, but rather whether there exists competition sufficient to keep margins thin and make companies responsive to customer demands. Which there is, for things like chairs. Some might even say for things like package delivery.

> Do you expect a private company to service every single rural address that currently receives mail for the same or lower price?

They would surely provide service to every address at a price which pays their costs and a market rate of return. Whether that's lower than the existing price in every single case whatsoever doesn't seem like a very strong argument to hinge the entire existence of the USPS on. Especially when there isn't any obvious reason why that subsidy should be a moral imperative, or if it somehow was why it couldn't be satisfied with an explicit subsidy rather than operating an entire national business as a monopoly just to create an implicit one.

> We can’t even get ISPs to wire the entire country.

The incumbents that have captured the regulators? Of course not. And they've had regulations put into place to keep anyone else from doing it either.

Meanwhile, Starlink.

Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by treis on Tuesday July 21, 2020 @08:59PM (#23912796)
>Do you expect a private company to service every single rural address that currently receives mail for the same or lower price?

I don't quite understand why that's something we need to do. Those that live in rural addresses that can't be efficiently delivered to can pick up their mail in town. Sure, it's less convenient but lack of conveniences is part of living in the country.

Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by andrewlgood on Tuesday July 21, 2020 @07:59PM (#23912286)
Because you don’t agree with his position. I bet when Bloomberg offers hundreds of millions of dollars to support green energy you suddenly feel great about billionaires working to save the planet.
Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by quickthrowman on Tuesday July 21, 2020 @08:12PM (#23912401)
Promoting alternative energy is not equal to dismantling a public service used by every single person in the US that would almost certainly be worse, or more expensive if privatized.

I’ll take the bait and offer you my position on green energy. My employer performs alternative energy work, so that part would make me feel good, but I don’t have a strong left position on energy. I’m fine with nuclear, natural gas, wind, solar, and hydro for generating electricity. I believe reducing the amount of coal we use is generally a good thing. That about sums it up.

[dead]
Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by quickthrowman on Tuesday July 21, 2020 @07:52PM (#23912233)
Why should we listen to someone who probably doesn’t ever open their own mail or pay a bill or send a package regarding the postal service? They don’t have to deal with the change they’re advocating for, they have the resources to actually change things.

> Dangerous path there, buddy.

Their opinion should count as much as any regular person. I’m not arguing for silencing anyone, merely limiting their outsized influence. I should’ve clarified this in my original post.

How would privatizing the mail help the poor? I’m curious.

Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by manigandham on Tuesday July 21, 2020 @08:45PM (#23912674)
Why should we listen to you? Most people don’t experience the change they advocate for.

Removing money from politics is a good thing but I’m wary of outright saying certain people don’t matter. That doesn’t lead anywhere good.

Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by quickthrowman on Tuesday July 21, 2020 @09:51PM (#23913158)
I’m arguing in favor of keeping mail delivery under the USPS because it’s one of the few functional democratic government services available. The government uses the USPS to send out many notices, payments, census forms, and so on. It’s a small miracle that one can place a postcard in a mailbox anywhere in the US and have it delivered to almost any address (some areas have mail service at a post office instead of home delivery). The utility of this service being available to everyone for the same price regardless of location is more valuable than any increased competition created by removing the USPS monopoly on first-class letters.

I’m arguing in favor of a system that everyone can access for a low cost, a service one could rightly consider essential.

Why should you should listen to me (or any other poster in this thread arguing in favor of keeping the status quo postal system) instead of the Koch brothers? I take the needs of everyone into consideration when formulating my argument instead of ideological or profit motives. Do you think it would be beneficial to the nation to saddle poor rural people with mail rates 10-50x what they are now when we have a perfectly functional system? I don’t, because it screws over the least fortunate to benefit.. who? It literally does not affect me if I have to pay .55 to mail a letter, but someone living on $700/mo that needs to use the private mail to mail a $10 letter will absolutely notice. Why destroy a functional and equitable system just so rich people in cities can pay less for postage? It’s not practical or fair.

I also clarified my position on the influence of billionaires and their opinions: They shouldn’t be ignored completely, but they should not be allowed to have the massive outsized influence they currently enjoy. Their opinion should count no more or less than anyone else.

Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by codemac on Tuesday July 21, 2020 @07:52PM (#23912232)
A billionaire's opinion should not count more than any other random person's opinion.

Genuinely believing something is good on the part of a billionaire has no bearing on whether or not their vote should count once per human or once per dollar.

Re:The Billionaire Behind Efforts to Kill the U.S. Postal Se... by salawat on Tuesday July 21, 2020 @08:24PM (#23912511)
>Again, it seems impossible for you to even grasp that they might geniuely believe that their way of doing things might lead to better outcome for all, including people living in poverty.

Genuine belief does not excuse reality blindness or intellectual stop points.

I genuinely believe the world would have so many fewer problems if people would just stop being dicks.

Alas, I am neither justified nor reasonable to present that as an answer to every problem. I have to stop, consider the details of what is there, the history of the edifice, the use case it fulfills, the fact the existence of the service is guaranteed by the Constitution, and that if you want it changed, it's going to take a Constitutional Convention, plus a 2/3's ratification amongst the States. If I want what I consider a problematic piece of the infrastructure of the United States of America to go away, I must come to terms with reality.

>>The existence of billionaires combined with Citizens United is an actual problem, the post office is not.

I'd qualify that with "the existence of billionaires [where large chunks of the capital flowing through them is not cycling back through the country via taxes] is a large threat to the country". Citizen's United alone is a bloody travesty against the very fabric of civic interaction, as a legal fiction by definition skews the equation away from all votes being equal; particularly when media exposure and marketing becomes more important in the act of campaigning than actually knowing what it is your Constituent's actually want, and the fact it is only management who gets to direct the support or capital of the legal fiction with no regard to wishes of the workers (in the case of a corporation directly) or well, workers again, in that it is infrequently seen that wages have gone up in anywhere near the proportion of income/revenue of corporate entities has. Therefore, it is rather obvious that value is likely being tied up in corporate or capital-gains tax write-offs in the forms of donations to possibly independent, yet aligned PAC's.

>I guess we'll have to agree to disagree.

I realize that's the polite response, but for whatever reason, it has just always rung as condescending to me. I prefer a heartfelt "I disagree", or "I beg to differ;" but to each their own. Would still debate with over a beer or two.