A bit more than that actually: https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/nov/28/uk-signific... We don't really know what the second-order effects will be, such as the brightest people moving abroad and companies permanently closing or leaving, as well as the general loss of influence.

I expect that we'll regain the 20% fairly quickly once the virus threat abates, but the Brexit loses are a permanent drag.

Anyway as I said in my comment above, we don't fully know, but we're sure going to find out soon enough.

the exact same story a year later says 6.7%: https://www.theguardian.com/business/2019/oct/17/uk-lost-gdp...

> We don't really know what the second-order effects will be, such as the brightest people moving abroad and companies permanently closing or leaving, as well as the general loss of influence.

so what do you think they were modelling? nothing at all?

> I expect that we'll regain the 20% fairly quickly once the virus threat abates, but the Brexit loses are a permanent drag.

a reduction in growth is not a overall loss, sorry

You can still be poorer with constant GDP if the exchange rates have moved against you. That holiday in France I'm about to book got more expensive as a direct consequence of Brexit. The same goes for everything else we import (which is a lot).