> since all countries with ICBMs also have technology in place to detect or verify via satellite a nuclear launch

It's lucky that those kinds of things never go wron...

"On 26 September 1983, the nuclear early-warning system of the Soviet Union reported the launch of multiple intercontinental ballistic missiles from bases in the United States."

...oh.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1983_Soviet_nuclear_false_alar...