NYC Has Its First Day in Months with No Covid-19 Deaths

Re:NYC Has Its First Day in Months with No Covid-19 Deaths by mzgaljic on Tuesday July 14, 2020 @03:09PM (#23836311)

I urge you to temper your positivity, and reconsider the timeline for a “2nd wave”. Note in the 1918 influenza pandemic, the 2nd wave occurred in the FALL of the following year. If history repeats itself, we may see a 2nd wave in the fall of 2020. Time will tell.

“ The influenza pandemic in the United States occurred in three waves during 1918 and 1919. The first wave began in March 1918 and lasted throughout the summer of 1918. The more devastating second and third waves (the second being the worst) occurred in the fall of 1918 and the spring of 1919.”

https://www.stlouisfed.org/~/media/files/pdfs/community-deve...

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Re:NYC Has Its First Day in Months with No Covid-19 Deaths by salmon30salmon on Tuesday July 14, 2020 @03:26PM (#23836551)

I understand the hesitation, and I think even those that are excited by this theory are stoic towards history. However, one thing to note is that this is _not_ the Flu. The influenza virus often mutates far more, far quicker than coronaviruses do. There is certainly reason to be cautious, but there is also reason to be optimistic.

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Re:NYC Has Its First Day in Months with No Covid-19 Deaths by mzgaljic on Tuesday July 14, 2020 @03:59PM (#23837004)

That’s a fair point - the mutation speed is different. I hope you’re right, but yes, i’m feeling cautious.

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