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A comment on Deschooling Society (1970). Parent comment

Re:Deschooling Society (1970) by JoelMcCracken on Tuesday July 14, 2020 @09:28AM (#23831659)
Yes, I was referring to covid, but just an example. Initially experts thought thought 1% was correct for covid, AND people thought it was not a big deal.

Thankfully there have been reports that make us think the fatality rate is much less than 1%, but that doesn't change the fact that people though 1% was a tiny number.

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Re:Deschooling Society (1970) by silveraxe93 on Tuesday July 14, 2020 @09:58AM (#23832009)
I mean, 0.01 is objectively a tiny number. The problem is when you multiply by 328 million ;)
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Re:Deschooling Society (1970) by JoelMcCracken on Tuesday July 14, 2020 @10:48AM (#23832592)
Hence the need for numeracy. You need to be able to do a little bit of thinking for any given number, the context, etc. For example, think about all the people you know, and also how that 0.01 might not be a random sampling of the entire population, but "cluster" in certain cohorts like the elderly, and consider that 0.01 is the worst-case outcome, but in many situations more will still have really bad consequences.
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