Re:Sweden: higher Covid-19 death rate while failing to colle...
by kolinko on Wednesday July 08, 2020 @02:58AM
(#23767575)
So far the countries that got infections under control returned to baseline excess mortality.
Re:Sweden: higher Covid-19 death rate while failing to colle...
by malandrew on Wednesday July 08, 2020 @01:42PM
(#23772235)
That's what I would expect if they got it under control quickly. It's the countries where it has gone wild for several months, especially in long term care facilities, where I would expect the drop in future months/years.
If there are excess deaths now and this disease disproportionately impacts the elderly, the assumption likely is that it's mostly picking people off early and that 1+ years from now we should observe a deaths deficit relative to the baseline years of 2018-2019. From there we should be able to start calculating the cumulative years of life lost.