Mosquitoes kill more than 700k people every year (2017)

Re:Mosquitoes kill more than 700k people every year (2017) by macintux on Friday May 29, 2020 @02:05PM (#23353404)

Without a lockdown, it’s still possible. Latest estimates are 0.5-1 percent fatality rate, which maps to 2-3 million people here in the US, and if everyone got ill in a short succession, because it is very contagious, the death toll would certainly be higher.

Recent birthday party, 20 people, every single one caught the disease.

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Re:Mosquitoes kill more than 700k people every year (2017) by thawaway1837 on Friday May 29, 2020 @02:13PM (#23353511)

The 0.5-1% fatality rate would be a LOT higher if all those people did fall sick at the same time.

Hospital systems would collapse because of the number of sick people. Doctors and nurses would be missing because they would almost all likely fall sick.

And people who would not die of COVID would die of other stuff because healthcare systems would have collapsed.

This is what happened in Italy. This is what was happening in NYC for a few days at its worst. This is what is about to happen in Brazil and possibly in India.

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Re:Mosquitoes kill more than 700k people every year (2017) by throwaway894345 on Friday May 29, 2020 @02:15PM (#23353540)

> Latest estimates are 0.5-1 percent fatality rate

I read just a couple of days ago that the IFR (infection fatality rate) is only ~0.25%-0.3%? Still ~four times higher than that of the flu, but not ten times greater.

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Re:Mosquitoes kill more than 700k people every year (2017) by clairity on Friday May 29, 2020 @02:23PM (#23353628)

yes, IFR was trending toward 0.2-0.3% even in march, and with time it's only become more likely that those are the bounds. flu averages around 0.1% IFR, so likely 2-3X as deadly.

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Re:Mosquitoes kill more than 700k people every year (2017) by saalweachter on Friday May 29, 2020 @05:41PM (#23355885)

The current CDC "best estimate" is ~0.4%, assuming an R0 of 2.5, with estimates of ~0.2% if the R0 is actual ~2 in the US and ~1% if the R0 is actually 3.

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Re:Mosquitoes kill more than 700k people every year (2017) by throwaway894345 on Friday May 29, 2020 @05:55PM (#23356013)

Pretty sure that 0.4% is "among people who develop symptoms" and 35% of infections are asymptomatic. So 0.4% of 65% of infections, or ~0.26% of infections.

[0]: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scena...

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Re:Mosquitoes kill more than 700k people every year (2017) by saalweachter on Friday May 29, 2020 @06:05PM (#23356096)

Thanks for the correction; everyone else, ignore what I wrote one post up.

(It's a shame HN doesn't support strike-through; that is my preferred way to retract a post without just deleting it in shame.)

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Re:Mosquitoes kill more than 700k people every year (2017) by throwaway894345 on Friday May 29, 2020 @06:18PM (#23356202)

No problem. This stuff is all very nuanced and rapidly changing. It's hard not to make a mistake.

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