Re:London may have gone into a Covid-accelerated decline
by dehrmann on Sunday May 24, 2020 @12:35AM
(#23289113)
I'm not sure if the same thing would apply to a virus that's 0.1-0.5% lethal. Since this is through natural selection, what we're selecting the virus for right now is strains that spread at long distances and through face masks, strains that spread well in a household, and strains that spread will for certain occupations.
[ Parent
| on HN ]
Re:London may have gone into a Covid-accelerated decline
by tigershark on Sunday May 24, 2020 @04:18AM
(#23290054)
Which virus are you speaking about? From the study in Spain with 70000 people covid has a mortality of 1.15%, looking at New York antibody test the mortality is at around 1.5% counting the excess deaths, looking at South Korea that detected pretty much every case the mortality is 2.3%.
So in no plausible scenario covid-19 has a 0.1%/0.5% mortality.
Re:London may have gone into a Covid-accelerated decline
by bhouston on Sunday May 24, 2020 @09:49AM
(#23291493)
Here is a link to some meta-analysis that suggests differently.
Note that this is a twitter discussion with an epidemiologist, David Fisman. https://twitter.com/BenHouston3D/status/1260194923816550400?...