Re:London may have gone into a Covid-accelerated decline
by toshk on Saturday May 23, 2020 @05:49PM
(#23286825)
I hear this sentiment often lately. But it always looked like 0.6-1 percent deathrate. Already in february this was suggested by one of the researchers at Hopkins, based on the nrs of South Korea at the time. And it's still around that percentage with the latest studies in Europe. Even though it sounds low, that's still a lot of deaths if left uncontrolled.
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Re:London may have gone into a Covid-accelerated decline
by nradov on Saturday May 23, 2020 @06:57PM
(#23287350)
The latest data indicates an infection fatality rate of about 0.3%.
https://www.sfgate.com/news/editorspicks/article/Los-Angeles...
Re:London may have gone into a Covid-accelerated decline
by toshk on Saturday May 23, 2020 @07:06PM
(#23287420)
Latest study in Spain around 1-1.3. 70,000 participants.
https://english.elpais.com/society/2020-05-14/antibody-study...
Most studies in Europe show this: 0,5 - 1.
Re:London may have gone into a Covid-accelerated decline
by rsynnott on Saturday May 23, 2020 @07:38PM
(#23287633)
NYC and Stockholm antibody tests would indicate an IFR more like 1% or a little over.
Though I'd be cautious about being too confident in antibody study results, for now. A lot can depend on test accuracy (especially where covid is rare anyway).
Re:London may have gone into a Covid-accelerated decline
by radioactivist on Saturday May 23, 2020 @08:09PM
(#23287848)
That study (and the related Santa Clara study by a subset of the same authors) were torn apart by statisticians for the shoddy methodology and irresponsible selling of its results to the media.