Where coronavirus hospitalizations are falling

Re:Where coronavirus hospitalizations are falling by HarryHirsch on Sunday May 17, 2020 @01:43PM (#23213635)

Hospitalizations are a lagging indicator. The incubation period is 2 weeks, people grow sick enough to be hospitalized in week 3, and death occurs in week 4 or 5. That said, excess deaths are a reliable number, you can't fudge deaths.

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Re:Where coronavirus hospitalizations are falling by lhuser123 on Sunday May 17, 2020 @06:35PM (#23216141)

I know someone who was recently hospitalized(Texas, US) but was not counted as a coronavirus patient because the test were negative(they didn’t test for anti bodies). The illness resembles almost everything I have read about people with complications from the virus. Doctors & nurses when asked, they all say that for the anti bodies test, the patient would have to go some place else.

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Re:Where coronavirus hospitalizations are falling by nradov on Monday May 18, 2020 @12:11AM (#23218236)

The typical incubation period is more like 5 - 6 days. A 2 week incubation period is possible, but very rare.

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Re:Where coronavirus hospitalizations are falling by dragonwriter on Sunday May 17, 2020 @07:00PM (#23216329)

> That said, excess deaths are a reliable number, you can't fudge deaths.

Excess deaths aren't a reliable indicator of COVID-19 impact because of post hoc ergo propter hoc problems.

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