News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:Trading Is Hazardous to Your Wealth [pdf] (2000) by TuringNYC on Thursday May 14, 2020 @04:07PM (#23184704)
Not really a fair comparison.

Stock Market: you have access to the cap table, debt, overhang, etc.

Startup Equity: Unknown denominator. Unknown multipliers.

Stock Market: you can sell almost any time (unless you're trading penny stocks, etc.)

Startup Equity: you wait for a liquidity event, or hope your company is large enough to have an active secondary market.

Stock Market: you can buy/sell at any time

Startup Equity: you have the privilege of exercising an option into IL-liquid holding that you pay for now (sometimes forced to if you leave the company) but have little idea of the future value of.

To be fair, i'm working at a startup, I left a public company to do so. I'm here because I have huge impact on my product, I'm learning more, have more impact at the company level, low BS, low regulatory strangle, dynamic team, etc. I think it is rare to have positive expected value on startup equity unless 1. You are the founder or 2. It is a pre-IPO company. Your odds are probably better buying out-of-money NASDAQ Compsite options.

There are no comments on this comment yet.