Re:New Zealand PM: No open borders for 'a long time'
by iso947 on Wednesday May 06, 2020 @04:37PM
(#23095990)
No country has got anywhere near 50% of infections. There seems no appetite currently for 4,000 deaths per million people that reaching herd immunity levels would require, at least in the western economies.
[ Parent
| on HN ]
Re:New Zealand PM: No open borders for 'a long time'
by Gibbon1 on Wednesday May 06, 2020 @05:39PM
(#23096627)
Deniers keep assuming that everyone will haplessly let themselves get infected. And the pandemic will be over in a couple of weeks. That is an incredibly stupid thing to believe.
Consider. Lets say that because people are terrified of the virus they protect themselves. Which to their credit most people are. And the growth rate drops from 35% to 5% a week. So how long does it take to get from 2% infected to 60%? Do the math and you find out it's 70 weeks or 18 months.