Re:Recovered virus patients retest positive due to 'dead' vi...
by throwaway374810 on Thursday April 30, 2020 @07:05AM
(#23029583)
Going by the death rates, it's definitely deadlier than any flu of the past five years, but not by a magnitude. Not even close.
Saying that it would've been a magnitude higher without any of the measures is pure speculation.
No: the antibody tests were done with the expectation that the total number of the infected would be much higher. The tests have such false positive rates that with the results actually observed the tests in most of the cases say nothing -- in most of the locations the numbers would be similar even if nobody would be a real positive. And there where the results are above these "noise" thresholds we also have a big numbers of deaths which do confirm my claim of order of magnitude deadlier than flu.
Even observing the pure death statistics we can see that, even in spite of all the measures actively taken throughout the world. Without them it's obvious it would have been again the difference of some orders of magnitude:
https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/
See also here:
https://www.ft.com/coronavirus-latest
the "Death rates have climbed far above historical averages" graph.