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Re:Which epidemiologist do you believe? by SiempreViernes on Tuesday April 28, 2020 @04:31AM (#23004924)
To clarify, the Giesecke approach is merely to use the clearer goal of keeping the case load manageable to the health services.

I don't know who came up with the idea that the goal would be heard immunity. Arguably, a "lockdown until vaccine" strategy is more clearly focused on (artificially) reaching herd immunity.

Re:Which epidemiologist do you believe? by JackFr on Tuesday April 28, 2020 @04:44AM (#23005006)
The lockdowns were sold on “flatten the curve” — which they have done, dramatically so, if we take ex ante predictions as accurate. They were not supposed to be the new normal.
Re:Which epidemiologist do you believe? by SiempreViernes on Tuesday April 28, 2020 @04:53AM (#23005061)
True, my mistake. In my defence, there is a lot of "reasons" for the lockdowns floating around in the global conversation.

This particular error on my part I regarding the reasons for the lockdown I attribute to Tomas Pueyo and his hammer-and-dance amateur epidemiology blog.