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Re:The San Francisco Bay Area shelter-in-place order is bein... by toomuchtodo on Monday April 27, 2020 @05:29PM (#23000285)
I will not dispute that you could be right. We'll only know for sure looking back from the future (lagging indicators and such).
Re:The San Francisco Bay Area shelter-in-place order is bein... by tptacek on Monday April 27, 2020 @05:33PM (#23000337)
I think the "harm from unemployment will swamp harm from C19" argument will get stronger the longer lockdown lasts, but that the ~month we've had widespread lockdown orders is not close to long enough to make the argument without clear data. We have strong evidence that explosive C19 case growth kills lots of people; that's a hard data point to overcome.

If you want to be frustrated with the unbounded nature of the crisis, I think the right place to focus that anger is on testing; in Illinois, we have something like a 22% positive rate on PCR testing, suggesting we're not testing nearly enough people.

Re:The San Francisco Bay Area shelter-in-place order is bein... by toomuchtodo on Monday April 27, 2020 @05:34PM (#23000354)
I drove passed a testing center in Aurora at the Premium Outlet Mall (I-88 & Farnsworth) twice this weekend, both Saturday and Sunday morning. They opened at 8am each day, and had reached capacity shortly after. I agree that testing efforts deserve the ire of the populace.