Re:We’re Testing the Wrong People
by markrages on Thursday April 23, 2020 @12:24PM
(#22957672)
You can get part of that with excess death rates. From the weeks overall deaths subtract the average death rate for this week in past years. That should give both people who died at home and consequential deaths.
[ Parent
| on HN ]
I'd reckon it's "doable" but not "easy", putting it in the realm of professional epidemiology. People are also dying less in car crashes, pollution-induced asthma, etc. There's quite a bit that may need to be accounted for. I suspect analyses will have decent error bars a year or so from now, but it's unlikely we'll get precise realtime estimates from this methodology. Would love to be proved wrong.
The NYT has been analyzing that.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/21/world/coronav...
Re:We’re Testing the Wrong People
by rechristened on Thursday April 23, 2020 @03:20PM
(#22959991)
There are a lot of people not going to hospitals either because elective procedures were canceled or they fear getting corona virus. These will contribute to excess deaths but not be caused by coronavirus.