You'd need to be a lot more specific. Which state are you referring to? Most US states are safer on Covid mortality than Germany. California + Texas + Florida (the three largest by population) combined have the same population as Germany with half the per capita death rate.
It would be like combining Italy, Spain and Greece and pretending they're all seeing the same situation.
Germany has a per 100k mortality rate of 5 for Covid.
Texas has a per 100k mortality rate of 1.5. California is 2.7. Florida is 3.6.
Germany has 89m people with 4,538 deaths. Texas has 29m people with a mere 453 deaths.
California + Texas + Florida = 89m people, with 2,290 deaths.
More large states? Ohio is 3.9. Virginia is 3. Arizona is 2.4. North Carolina is 1.5.
So as you can see, most of the US in fact doesn't look like New York, New Jersey, Michigan. Just like most of Europe doesn't look like Spain.
More countries in Europe for comparison (per 100k rate):
Belgium 47, Spain 44, Italy 38, France 29, Britain 23, Netherlands 21, Switzerland 16, Sweden 15, Ireland 11.6, Portugal 6.7, Denmark 6, Austria 5, Norway 3, Finland 1.6.
The three largest US states combined have a rate of 2.5.
Lower, if your population is young and healthy. Much lower, if you miraculously stop community spread until medication is available.
Higher, if the disease spreads too fast and hospitals are overloaded, or if your population is old or unhealthy.
> It's also worth calling out the flu has killed 2X as many people as COVID has to date this flu season. A bad flu season in the US kills about 60K people each year.
So far. The flu season started before the covid season so that's a bit of an apples and oranges as you are comparing different time scales. The bigger issue though is its unknown how big covid could get if it balloons. Like its mostly on par with flu now, but its not over yet and that's with the taking of extreme messures to prevent transmission (which we dont do to prevent flu). Measuring potential risk in terms of what's happened so far when we haven't even seen what a complete season of covid look like, feels premature. Jumping off a bridge also looks safe if you base your predictions on the lack of all the bad things that happened before you hit the ground.