Every story and comment from the Hacker News API, in a layout borrowed from 2001.
A comment on Covid-19 Antibody Seroprevalence in Santa Clara County, California. Parent comment
328.2 million (Approximate population of the US [1]) * 80% for herd immunity (based on an R0 5.7 [2]) * 1% = 2.6 million people die.
If the fatality rate is 0.5% instead, then 1.3 million people die If the fatality rate is 0.1%, we're still looking at ~260k-ish people.
That's pretty grim.
This situation is still developing so hopefully those numbers get adjusted downwards as later information becomes available.
For reference, ~1.2 million people died to heart attacks and cancer in 2017. [3]
[1] https://www.census.gov/popclock/ [2] https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/26/7/20-0282_article [3] https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/leading-causes-of-death.htm
There are no comments on this comment yet.
328.2 million (Approximate population of the US [1]) * 80% for herd immunity (based on an R0 5.7 [2]) * 1% = 2.6 million people die.
If the fatality rate is 0.5% instead, then 1.3 million people die If the fatality rate is 0.1%, we're still looking at ~260k-ish people.
That's pretty grim.
This situation is still developing so hopefully those numbers get adjusted downwards as later information becomes available.
For reference, ~1.2 million people died to heart attacks and cancer in 2017. [3]
[1] https://www.census.gov/popclock/ [2] https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/26/7/20-0282_article [3] https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/leading-causes-of-death.htm