This is the factor that has been missing from all the reporting on this crises. The goal of suppressing the virus to zero and merely seeking mitigate the virus surge effect on available ICU beds leads to drastic differences in all metrics most notably “peak deaths”. If the goal is mitigation with rolling shutdowns, there will be many many more deaths. Virus suppression require several months of shutdown. This is the most basic result of the “models”.

None of the major outlets have reported on this at all.