Coronavirus patients start to overwhelm US hospitals

Re:Coronavirus patients start to overwhelm US hospitals by brenden2 on Thursday March 26, 2020 @11:04AM (#22694214)

I wrote a comment elsewhere about death rates in the US. 81 people per day is not an astronomical number for the most densely populated part of the country, in fact it's well within the normal number of deaths according to CDC data. In fact, just compared to heart disease alone, it might be slightly on the lower end.

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Re:Coronavirus patients start to overwhelm US hospitals by raesene9 on Thursday March 26, 2020 @11:11AM (#22694281)

But of course heart disease isn't contagious and rapidly increasing. I think if it were, it would be far more concerning, wouldn't you agree?

The problem is, as bad as the current numbers are, without significant changes, they are inevitably going to get considerably worse quickly, as you can see from the graphs.

Imagine what'll happen if 60% of the US population gets this quickly (over the next 3 months say) and then 2% of those people die with another 8% in hospital...

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Re:Coronavirus patients start to overwhelm US hospitals by DanBC on Thursday March 26, 2020 @11:39AM (#22694613)

A stable 80 deaths per day isn't that many, it's only 29,200 people per year.

But with covid-19 the numbers of people dying is doubling every 3 days.

80, 160, 320, 640, 1280, 2560, 5120, 10,240, 20,480

Potentially Covid-19 would hit that 29200 figure in about 25 days from today.

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Re:Coronavirus patients start to overwhelm US hospitals by drstewart on Thursday March 26, 2020 @11:48AM (#22694727)

Keep extrapolating and you'll find 2.5 trillion people will be dead just a week after that.

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Re:Coronavirus patients start to overwhelm US hospitals by DanBC on Thursday March 26, 2020 @11:58AM (#22694863)

Look at Italy; look at Spain. These are not unreasonable extrapolations.

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Re:Coronavirus patients start to overwhelm US hospitals by brenden2 on Thursday March 26, 2020 @12:57PM (#22695516)

Neither of them have exponential growth. The rate of growth has steadily decreased after the first initial spike of cases.

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Re:Coronavirus patients start to overwhelm US hospitals by gpderetta on Thursday March 26, 2020 @01:06PM (#22695629)

The growth seems to be tapering off after extreme lockdown measures have been taken.

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Re:Coronavirus patients start to overwhelm US hospitals by DanBC on Friday March 27, 2020 @04:18AM (#22701177)

Of deaths? Here's Spain. They implemented lockdown on about the 7th of March.

https://www.ft.com/coronavirus-latest

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/spain/

   8th   17 deaths
  11th   55 
  14th  196 
  17th  533
  20th 1093
  23rd 2311
  26th 4365

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Re:Coronavirus patients start to overwhelm US hospitals by loriverkutya on Thursday March 26, 2020 @11:24AM (#22694434)

With the current rate it’s going to be 2500 death per day in 10 days.

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Re:Coronavirus patients start to overwhelm US hospitals by beepboopbeep on Thursday March 26, 2020 @11:39AM (#22694614)

This is absurd.

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