Re:Venezuela to Close Pumps as Gas Runs Short, Viral Outbrea...
by yostrovs on Sunday March 22, 2020 @07:40AM
(#22654259)
A lot more people already fled Venezuela than the virus will ever kill there, that's for sure.
Also, as a correction... Venezuela is not a developing country. It is de-developing.
Re:Venezuela to Close Pumps as Gas Runs Short, Viral Outbrea...
by wolco on Sunday March 22, 2020 @10:16AM
(#22655058)
This creates additional problems you are not seeing.
Anyone still left in Venezuela now has the virus or had the virus. The virus is still going around in 6 months. Everyone outside of Venezuela has gotten rid of it. Wouldn't the country be a isolated because no other country could allow travel to avoid another outbreak.
Years down the road it would be still spreading probably morphing to something even more dangerous.
You would only do this if you were counting on a vaccine.
Assume 80% infection, and assuming that 100% of people who would have needed hospitalization die.
This is 720,000 people, or 2.5% of the population. However, if we just take the working-age population (65 and lower), and assume 50% survival rate instead of 0%, the deaths are just 0.79% of the total population.
So decimation is absolutely inaccurate and the higher-up poster is correct. Developing countries like Venezuela cannot afford to and should not shutdown their economies or societies.
[1] https://www.populationpyramid.net/venezuela-bolivarian-repub...
[2] https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/s...