And yet here we are with a virus that has an r0 much higher than flu, and is ~10 times more lethal.
That the two things are correlated in certain modeling scenarios does not mean you can't end up something that both spreads and kills.
Lethality estimates also suffer from being based on bad data. “Patients who have been tested for SARS-CoV-2 are disproportionately those with severe symptoms and bad outcomes.” [1]. For that reason, the CFR in the US at least has been around 1%, but the IFR could actually be significantly lower.
[0]: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/19545404/ [1]: https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/17/a-fiasco-in-the-making-a...
In terms of estimating the IFR, it's hard; estimates are about 0.7, much higher than flu.
Your link says 'mean R0 1.3: range 0.9 to 2.1'.
Compared to the mean R0 of flu, this disease spreads substantially more and is more lethal, hence is a good counterpoint to the flawed argument of the post that I was replying to.
When it will be it can also be used to easily create a cure if you can assemble viruses like legos it would be also incredibly easy to create inhibitors and anti bodies with the same technology.
This is also what we are doing atm basically playing a huge game of “Perfection” by trying to find anything that would fit one of the “holes” on the virus, our cells or those which open up during its assembly process like its viral protease.
I've heard a firsthand account from a guy who worked at Vector [0], that they had difficulty controlling viruses [1]. Accidental releases of weaponized bacteria also happened [2], but in that case they could prophylactically treat with antibiotics. That said, this was done using 1970's-1980's technology. I'm sure there's some more sophisticate bioweapons that are possible now. Maybe viruses are a more reasonable chassis.
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soviet_biological_weapons_prog...
virus is good for control in the case of accidents such as a biowar implement crashes somehow and spills virus, the environment will destroy it quickly, the cleanup is simple compared to a bacterial agent, eg anthrax in spore form lasts many years-->
This virus has shown the widespread economic impact and unpredictability that the uncontrolled spread of a virus can unleash on the world.
After this, I'm sure no superpower will want to take a chance releasing a weaponized pathogen: it might just come bite them back in the ass.
Also the natural selection on viruses would result in them evolving into less deadly forms because those would be the ones that get more wide spread.
Other factors like long incubation and infectiousness are also often inversely correlated the incubation period is the time when the virus replicates while remaining mostly asymptomatic which often means for airborne viruses it’s also a period when the host isn’t particularly infectious.