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Re:The Doctor Who Helped Defeat Smallpox Explains What's Coming by simonh on Saturday March 21, 2020 @08:16AM (#22646031)
If that were true, we should see a much higher proportion of tested people showing positive. Also we shouldn't see the proportion of people tested being positive shooting up, but we do. Those ILI stats were probably just Flu.
Re:The Doctor Who Helped Defeat Smallpox Explains What's Coming by mrfusion on Saturday March 21, 2020 @10:11AM (#22646587)
I believe that most of the current testing only shows active infections?
Re:The Doctor Who Helped Defeat Smallpox Explains What's Coming by simonh on Saturday March 21, 2020 @10:47AM (#22646823)
Yes, and it has shown initially small numbers of active infections, growing rapidly, as a proportion of those tested. If the virus was already widely distributed, we would expect it to be much closer to equilibrium.