Re:California governor issues statewide 'stay at home' order
by hilbertseries on Friday March 20, 2020 @04:17AM
(#22635937)
We should have a vaccine sometime next year.
Re:California governor issues statewide 'stay at home' order
by surewhynat on Friday March 20, 2020 @10:16AM
(#22637646)
Yeah, everyone is criticizing China for hiding numbers early on. Why is nobody criticizing the politicians in the rest of the world who weren't even authorizing testing?
more to the point, epidemiologists will eventually reach concensus that the infection rate is under control (close to linear, R0≈1, i imagine). most 80+ year olds might need to stay cautious for the rest of their lives (depending on both the actual epidemiology and treatment/prevention options we develop), but that's true of a wide array of threats, like cancer, heart disease, or even just falling.
so basically, it depends on your risk tolerance once we have enough information to determine the actual risks of dying (vs the guestimates we have so far).