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Re:California governor issues statewide 'stay at home' order by btilly on Friday March 20, 2020 @12:55AM (#22635039)
That paper is very good. And got the UK to reverse their disastrous "herd immunity" strategy.

Sadly https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/18/top-uk-covid-1... says that the lead author of the study has COVID and likely was infectious while he attended a press conference on COVID.

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