Re:California governor issues statewide 'stay at home' order
by dilyevsky on Thursday March 19, 2020 @11:20PM
(#22634385)
The lockdown is just to slow it down so you can reasonably mount test and forced quarantine response. Realistically it will need military to step in or something like that. You can’t stop it with just lockdown. Currently US is barely doing the former and not doing the latter at all (unless you are celebrity). It is bad. My projection is at least 100k will die by the end of the year if nothing changes
I agree that it is a pipe dream to suggest that we could scale up critical beds such that hospitals will not be overburdened. But I disagree that there is nothing to be done.
If we've bought time so that rather than 5 critical cases/bed we have 3, that is a huge improvement and still means potentially hundreds of thousands saved.
I am also skeptical that the primary or only shortage is labor.