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Re:Show HN: Covid-19 Interactive Model by xearl on Thursday March 19, 2020 @10:39PM (#22634068)
The growth rate of infected deaths and the measurable mortality displacement makes that hypothesis extremely unlikely.

As does (albeit in a weaker form) the testing of the full population of Vò.

As does the testing in at least a few European countries, where the growth rate of tests outpaces that of confirmed infections. And/or where the number of tests administered vastly exceeds the number of confirmed infections.

Sure, once we have anti-body tests widely available, the data will become better.

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