Re:Show HN: Covid-19 Interactive Model
by TheGallopedHigh on Thursday March 19, 2020 @08:02PM
(#22633115)
This can in a sense be captured in the virulence rate factor. Lower rate factor equals more care available.
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The main problem is the number of people with very bad symptoms (for example that need ICU). If there are enough ICU, then the mortality rate is like 0.1%. If there are not enough, the mortality is like 5%. (The numbers are difficult to measure, so they are only estimations.)
Now they have added the ICU overflow, that is very important for the mortality rate.