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Re:Show HN: Covid-19 Interactive Model by gus_massa on Wednesday March 18, 2020 @09:49AM (#22616589)
Someone notices in another thread that in this model the death number does not depend on the number of beds or ICUs.
Re:Show HN: Covid-19 Interactive Model by nbnoll on Wednesday March 18, 2020 @09:51AM (#22616620)
We are working on this! It originally started out just as a visual representation however now it factors into the model. Check out branch feat/hospital-bed-model
Re:Show HN: Covid-19 Interactive Model by gus_massa on Wednesday March 18, 2020 @10:06AM (#22616770)
Nice to hear that, because one of the important factors is if the health system gets oversaturated.

Edit: For someone else that is interested, the link to the repo in GitHub, is in the "About" section at the top.

Edit 2: The About section has a lot of info. Perhaps you should copy part of that info to the main page.

Edit 3: When the site loads, it should show the graph of the simulation with the default parameters.

Re:Show HN: Covid-19 Interactive Model by nbnoll on Thursday March 19, 2020 @12:58PM (#22629336)
I just wanted to reply that the finite ICU capacity was merged last night and is now on the main webpage.
Re:Show HN: Covid-19 Interactive Model by TheGallopedHigh on Thursday March 19, 2020 @08:02PM (#22633115)
This can in a sense be captured in the virulence rate factor. Lower rate factor equals more care available.
Re:Show HN: Covid-19 Interactive Model by gus_massa on Friday March 20, 2020 @11:06AM (#22638092)
The main problem is the number of people with very bad symptoms (for example that need ICU). If there are enough ICU, then the mortality rate is like 0.1%. If there are not enough, the mortality is like 5%. (The numbers are difficult to measure, so they are only estimations.)

Now they have added the ICU overflow, that is very important for the mortality rate.