Re:Show HN: Covid-19 Interactive Model
by chimprich on Thursday March 19, 2020 @04:29PM
(#22631388)
Your aggression is unwanted and unnecessary. I haven't validated anything; I speculated, with appropriate qualifiers.
I'm happy to defer to actual stats if you have any.
Page 5 of the recent well-respected Imperial paper on modelling approaches to managing the outbreak has statistics on hospitalisation that I imagine are the current best estimates.
For example, 3.2% of cases aged 30-39 require hospitalisation. Could that rise to 40% after triage? I'm not sure, it seems high, but it depends on what pressures the system is under.
I'm happy to defer to actual stats if you have any.
Page 5 of the recent well-respected Imperial paper on modelling approaches to managing the outbreak has statistics on hospitalisation that I imagine are the current best estimates.
https://www.imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-infectious-disease-ana...
For example, 3.2% of cases aged 30-39 require hospitalisation. Could that rise to 40% after triage? I'm not sure, it seems high, but it depends on what pressures the system is under.