News for hackers. Stuff that matters.

A comment on New research shows social distancing a must to beat Covid-19. Parent comment

Re:New research shows social distancing a must to beat Covid-19 by 3JPLW on Thursday March 19, 2020 @12:56PM (#22629317)
Cool, thanks for the data. Looks like their population is 30% over 60, whereas the US (for example) is 20%. Even if we assume _every_ death is someone over 60 (it's not), that'd adjust the percentage to 0.4% in a generic US town.

Note that Florida is similarly 28% over 60.

[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:New research shows social distancing a must to beat Covid-19 by guscost on Thursday March 19, 2020 @01:05PM (#22629408)
If you compare the 80+ group (which has a much higher CFR), this town has closer to three times the percentage of the US population.

On top of that, this is in a region of Italy where the healthcare capacity has been completely overwhelmed. That's going to be devastating for the prognosis of an older person who needs a ventilator.

[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:New research shows social distancing a must to beat Covid-19 by 3JPLW on Thursday March 19, 2020 @01:35PM (#22629713)
Very true. Here's some more comprehensive numbers from Italian media:

https://translate.google.com/translate?hl=en&sl=it&u=https:/...

Since Feb 25 there have been 91 deaths with positive COVID-19 diagnoses. In total there have been 330 deaths. I'd be very curious what the age breakdowns are.

Anyhow, this was just a small example that shows that we're already seeing significant mortality relative to the _total population_ and not just by confirmed positive cases.

[ Parent | on HN ]