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A comment on Ask HN: What happens next after a successful lockdown?. Parent comment

Re:Ask HN: What happens next after a successful lockdown? by bosie on Monday March 16, 2020 @03:45PM (#22596768)
a small percentage of a large number is still a large number. 80% infected within 1 year and ~10% of those require hospitalization. usa: 350m => 80% is 280M => ~30 million hospital/ICU beds for 2-4 weeks. this is on top of regular/ongoing hospitalisation. hence it hitting any african country or india with the same force would be devastating.
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Re:Ask HN: What happens next after a successful lockdown? by markhahn on Tuesday March 17, 2020 @02:08PM (#22608061)
much less than 10% require hospitalization, though.
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Re:Ask HN: What happens next after a successful lockdown? by bosie on Tuesday March 17, 2020 @03:12PM (#22608970)
the beauty of the equation is that you can fiddle with the numbers as much as you want, it will always lead to a collapse of the health care system
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