Re:CDC says U.S. gatherings of over 50 people should be put off
by rsfern on Monday March 16, 2020 @12:32AM
(#22589975)
I do think it’s important to consider the pros and cons of any given policy, but I think this comparison is a bit extreme.
There are about 35k car crash deaths in the US each year [0].
I’ve seen estimates for total infection rate all over the map. Conservatively (?) if 30% of the US population is eventually infected and the fatality rate is 1%, that’s 1 million people, and basically two orders of magnitude larger for a comparable (?) time period. If we don’t do more than we currently are to limit transmission, these figures don’t seem that implausible.
Auto deaths are still a huge problem, but we can take more targeted action like improving transit coverage.
There are about 35k car crash deaths in the US each year [0].
I’ve seen estimates for total infection rate all over the map. Conservatively (?) if 30% of the US population is eventually infected and the fatality rate is 1%, that’s 1 million people, and basically two orders of magnitude larger for a comparable (?) time period. If we don’t do more than we currently are to limit transmission, these figures don’t seem that implausible.
Auto deaths are still a huge problem, but we can take more targeted action like improving transit coverage.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Motor_vehicle_fatality_rate_...